{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.078Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Japan exports to Tunisia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to Tunisia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "TUN",
    "country_name": "Tunisia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "TUN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 139,
    "current_lane_count": 113,
    "current_product_count": 113,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 99158446.48970471,
    "attention_trade_usd": 61946219.857927315,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 40080308.79464666,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 46991878.92911808,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 20504852.729851317,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 99158446.48970471,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 18,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 56,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 78,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 36,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 113,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0315514155680507,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 39.77080503154449,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 746.372357324423,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 17.26206158080508,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 41.246780173842,
    "top_product_hs6": "870332",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 17116792.09562248,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "870340",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 10427.619140625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 9,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 46840.042941,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3924,
    "buyer_population_latest": 11935.764,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.1414499246600345,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4502902984167916,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6681079620458386,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.352000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.254000000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 62.4719547863822,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 46840.042941,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3924,
    "buyer_population_2024": 11935.764
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 84751398.9796478,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 110361681.65808876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.218123814795096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 121113897.21294212,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.742707245223725,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 119160832.3895637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.612585234495889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.02859366980913
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 141588588.98949108,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.82141652603262,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.66007023820552
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 114875558.16783792,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.866655153711463,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7472868489800786
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 97441109.59466621,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.176812936742612,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.4875223048321935
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 90963557.49208327,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.647658395443312,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.712796446408582
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 114228073.32419741,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.575644217893423,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.18823417055290337
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 159099066.59628063,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.281931285606305,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.753855844375344
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 133948699.19526808,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.807991799746057,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.768933750387124
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 145797573.0302413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.845829714031161,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.474039765328856
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 158075007.82677263,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.420877344772215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.21501567923398746
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 192498696.39785662,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.776806494804912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.848666312630064
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 145706201.26413736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.30795429232854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.02089446312539822
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 194901751.53103197,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.76352539567793,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.230297281382048
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 182520210.88638133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.3527087608954975,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7586346347567283
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 207636104.83471397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.760609757331066,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.531717111159079
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 169299812.9361112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.46321087997671,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.585675774712317
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 161053947.38172334,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.870569796494473,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.084939749711269
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 135784032.83042473,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.690341629072224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.200889086407042
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 137336886.6988714,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1436203772103193,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.7368156146942475
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 136800753.96874407,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.39037780964328306,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.295116881208495
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 207130860.75940818,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.41061342887991,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.115031209171859
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 152005838.5313854,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.61362098622908,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4405982885234776
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 107403469.04301743,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.34253704942964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.747826738780894
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 113582975.17957452,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.7535442678132265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.14922230985737
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 131265342.7242621,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.567797477334766,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.7723056988226435
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 128422269.33115363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.165897969794417,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.13876019911479
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 133824915.66128582,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.20693884189256,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.618804159940027
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "870332",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 90631465.23334046,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6261950912077605,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "870340",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77691626.77772024,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8255839662503441,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 206299812.10286668,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.58829096241159,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5693362655677892,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "720839",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 72454793.67376287,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 40.88429756660129,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6845266069445883,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "870210",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more passengers), compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20894898.794254545,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 73.17124430436861,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.658170817583164,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "870333",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11891026.013906773,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.58480751438697,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5785382974042533,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 291211722.5229855,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.53093739738922,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.160829411154394,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "854231",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 144377115.81316447,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.66843023491603,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5564469049084362,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "853690",
      "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: n.e.s. in heading no. 8536, for switching or protecting electrical circuits, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 304280365.7866731,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.53428360582964,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.189864669800185,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70332069.85399726,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.7232130587232,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0671583734238792,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "TUN",
    "distance_km": 10439,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 46840.042941,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3924.343924779344,
    "importer_population": 11935.764,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 9,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-TUN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-TUN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-TUN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-TUN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-TUN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}