{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.084Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Japan exports to Namibia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to Namibia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NAM",
    "country_name": "Namibia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "NAM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 40,
    "current_lane_count": 34,
    "current_product_count": 34,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2013,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 47810291.47403563,
    "attention_trade_usd": 42665520.91314693,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 38222795.46567667,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3072511.963526261,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 44673466.46537149,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 47810291.47403563,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 47810291.47403563,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 9,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 26,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 13,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 29,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 34,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3480068116156574,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 9.590607772506234,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1492.0070371648414,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 31.005243550386062,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 54.7784772244325,
    "top_product_hs6": "401180",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 14823697.31367421,
    "top_product_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on construction, mining or industrial handling vehicles and machines",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "401180",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 14350.904296875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 54,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12236.250784,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4729,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2587.344,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2904996761134768,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.3852682406449879,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.713355164102671,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.18,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 9.026,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 89.23919850251765,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 12236.250784,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4729,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2587.344
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 10939859.369805362,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 3402255.946664636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.90036853622583,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 3179235.7181997565,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.5550691059417465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 6571202.243752615,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 106.69125620775174,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.625535109414468
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 9414797.991706839,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.273599601316384,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.393825518961755
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 8161741.057243207,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.309440474106882,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.92624370971507
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 9840979.957584819,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.574518213259864,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.41013669883009
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 10820732.37813666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.95584204799349,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.74867786275488
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 17691044.390872747,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.49211654672824,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.41666976080908
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 12775340.073609667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.786399766195913,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.088266567243707
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 14215671.280397166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.274308147481937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.522556366245283
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 18274938.599163186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.55487608498366,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0882825410318153
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 17505738.35985632,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.209044178906785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.071504486874062
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 28275626.225211874,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.522042909385455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.76166733593479
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 30757956.00665778,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.779044402675495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.95074917424495
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 21791162.593486153,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.152761032724996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.572184810453986
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 28101694.51215898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.959133738734888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.20546503023103346
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 29696356.831280097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.67461267658127,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.163983350856801
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 30993045.061236963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.3664892543014755,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.459103091550183
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 33536153.264666025,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.205415758291302,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.070246747687924
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 31436102.447958168,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.262050391213137,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9158757804926374
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 38853816.97282852,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.596164750863213,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.825913816362262
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 51022373.80460858,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.318819564857293,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.013584318851603
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 63407968.70939795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.274830787411616,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.348972673097947
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 76617643.165777,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.83283020296658,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.400239562773884
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "401180",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on construction, mining or industrial handling vehicles and machines",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43115372.127976246,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1763519446694468,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "870333",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13308902.150422586,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7947256250688186,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24754729.566570673,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.262430824266716,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9942474643248287,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 138967466.91877863,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.70660486232997,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37064098.527154714,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.86680451344563,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8695305499153216,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "842951",
      "hs_description": "Front-end shovel loaders",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15678708.32549435,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.065995784950639,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2132786673860652,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51548980.00124404,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3816414335325682,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "870210",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more passengers), compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15325901.881771889,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.314938765202657,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.364671460574689,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "844399",
      "hs_description": "Printing machinery: parts and accessories, n.e.c. in item no. 8443.91",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17485780.191369664,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5806740050505916,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "870899",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32125839.848381072,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.83648602631268,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6343251492903563,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "NAM",
    "distance_km": 14335,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12236.250784,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4729.270937300954,
    "importer_population": 2587.344,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 54,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-NAM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-NAM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-NAM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-NAM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-NAM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}