{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.095Z", "seo": { "title": "Japan exports to Malawi: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to Malawi, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "JPN", "country_name": "Japan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MWI", "country_name": "Malawi" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "all_history_lane_count": 14, "current_lane_count": 8, "current_product_count": 8, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 26371759.376697928, "attention_trade_usd": 25914555.167503685, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3640166.497204032, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 418839.216133124, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 23107159.785735067, "access_friction_trade_usd": 26371759.376697928, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 26371759.376697928, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5, "access_friction_lane_count": 8, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7301424727721327, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.213720921618331, "product_concentration_hhi": 2955.7017138071797, "top1_product_share_pct": 39.64809631933012, "top3_product_share_pct": 86.05124732968896, "top_product_hs6": "870323", "top_product_trade_usd": 10455900.558775168, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870323", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 12345.958984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.004799999762326479, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 24.51609122666666, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 24.51609122666666, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12626.718073999999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 643, "buyer_population_latest": 19647.68, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.4742394112035031, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.0937742938528903, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.622931980611698, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.302, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.328, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.26631131179579, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 12626.718073999999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 643, "buyer_population_2024": 19647.68 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 15897696.240885986, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 21930707.949523553, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.94896831102961, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 24879626.769697282, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.446528160244808, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 26068630.10743149, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.779024013263666, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.92195529819798 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 19339147.503510088, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.81448498133011, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.105236708123838 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 16015187.68613093, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.187726691550665, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.656551412801143 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 13501725.787568402, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.694239417120126, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.692330217263397 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 16407950.940398274, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.524842072453843, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.331461102800383 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 23870715.59213092, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.482611929064575, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.22937535257991 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 18507323.795450855, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.468500267533376, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.083983838543542 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 7998742.128080117, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.780665770562535, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.297393511567964 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 10046093.997405116, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.595922915649872, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.0605330406664 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 10339732.164161973, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.922908812446945, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.638947356556468 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 19639762.54563936, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.94459657003257, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.908147554235654 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 16414588.619924089, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.421654377035022, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.781637657547655 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 35124646.71926422, "yoy_growth_pct": 113.9843253618296, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.32604281400752 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 31382678.145724647, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.65339846247415, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.909891300547542 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 46413017.141246974, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.89374229225862, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.40668224543595 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 62071427.723464504, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.73710985985867, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.900080491308582 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 56796012.14693309, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.498943507524926, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.86414529260865 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 44611956.14690915, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.452308955254473, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.310604578656538 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 34181967.904199645, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.379356440598777, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.033741934205217 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 39219140.27551577, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.736343985324662, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.61197932077208 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 54897109.145929016, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.9752997140554, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.160007722606632 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 52660683.92232881, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.073848802594105, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.494989673074922 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 47968164.1896126, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.910859835465457, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.9428308907974134 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 59648845.55042231, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.35090347555795, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.805777629547257 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 43262124.145795055, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.471984165687246, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.342955664176286 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 51918311.016696446, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.00869592470702, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.672897750721015 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 50566694.21430158, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.603352797744518, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.357216067143156 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26314591.883898236, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6691109145364127, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22821759.05717475, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7452191408722579, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "hs_code": "870333", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12899640.145453697, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.799209886425267, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5155666084850337, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "hs_code": "382200", "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38993706.88628694, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.6746826352834465, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0082490187355573, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "hs_code": "300220", "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28403450.65000706, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.75650982345645, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8526550278554492, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "hs_code": "100590", "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18106384.994093984, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10770607.976275746, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.98467247972663, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4507313229639813, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "hs_code": "847130", "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12549771.432953715, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.64394183670268, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.629796929171882, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "distance_km": 12334, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12626.718073999999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 642.6569485048616, "importer_population": 19647.68, "importer_biz_entry_days": 37, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 32.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 24.51609122666666, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 24.51609122666666, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-MWI/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-MWI/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-MWI/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-MWI/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-MWI/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }