{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.080Z", "seo": { "title": "Japan exports to Sri Lanka: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to Sri Lanka, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "JPN", "country_name": "Japan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LKA", "country_name": "Sri Lanka" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "all_history_lane_count": 152, "current_lane_count": 125, "current_product_count": 125, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 113630105.35363321, "attention_trade_usd": 50967962.87015684, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 58014497.50339033, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 27805010.223218326, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 77204891.06844138, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 13, "high_volatility_lane_count": 57, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 79, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 85, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0556104985024166, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 31.369205714710052, "product_concentration_hhi": 383.68622215157023, "top1_product_share_pct": 12.906756083236237, "top3_product_share_pct": 24.37594439275864, "top_product_hs6": "400241", "top_product_trade_usd": 14665960.5351178, "top_product_description": "Rubber: synthetic, chloroprene (chlorobutadiene) rubber (CR), latex, in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip", "top_attention_product_hs6": "400241", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 6861.330078125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.012000000104308128, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.977370466262624, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.977370466262624, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 84518.83039300001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3815, "buyer_population_latest": 22156, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1452073861579324, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.039656303460391, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.1034412369869564, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.916000000000004, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.772, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 44.854277580344764, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 84518.83039300001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3815, "buyer_population_2024": 22156 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 457081404.40030473, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 418530515.70418304, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.434140685880854, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 434177403.2095091, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.738529669455515, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 471845488.6461198, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.675736037426685, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0653035315139059 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 481273806.5385059, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9981790902439567, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.766322366996567 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 579995311.4519886, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.512544745271555, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.133410613825045 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 296233202.9526367, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.924896959764716, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.372885529167146 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 310625777.7133356, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.858528556976105, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.579835384286888 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 402749612.4855001, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.657498308843522, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.446944814124016 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 367964350.55310035, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.636944854578132, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.495595574883751 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 365102866.83376485, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7776524315560196, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.534044697015994 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 428696369.58851504, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.417968614227554, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.102934658761657 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 397372310.63974804, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.306816938718996, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5960448861985785 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 392057337.87805146, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3375297219727633, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4027094893487533 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 211815430.69736087, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.973353835492915, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.943800987901152 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 594278667.8558848, "yoy_growth_pct": 180.56438848639993, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.357375520138493 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 957347737.5094953, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.09407745755673, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.66044424198975 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 491666261.66369796, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.64287631339167, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.4049650168821 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 603438780.9155184, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.73341247243712, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5111770130439286 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 890825841.7592313, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.62489086427264, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3720064291410936 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 1235496879.051867, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.69118082744079, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.95350699887465 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 786580359.1154374, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.33489712098121, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.237049218862147 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 986004085.524462, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.353255277476027, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.441617404985786 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 1034528309.8206819, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.921300530961759, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.745901853978186 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 724273829.5048494, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.98994588844165, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.713353882427061 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 429722521.14837205, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.66850082900933, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.182440598710453 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 363671940.8194307, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.37051866689011, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.424200785310205 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 219896898.0347621, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.534268841503874, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.78924561284116 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 173912378.16755152, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.91185472745559, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.031389659938085 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 232878453.56061456, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.90562305821248, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.806766891226474 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "400241", "hs_description": "Rubber: synthetic, chloroprene (chlorobutadiene) rubber (CR), latex, in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16254830.390438654, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1553167038565908, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "400291", "hs_description": "Rubber: synthetic, n.e.c. in heading 4002, latex, in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13218059.73196097, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.58950986092192, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6118930662201563, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "600632", "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to 60.04, of synthetic fibres, dyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 113716113.61636421, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.832925700004267, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6824258336254954, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36288274.61432322, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.373059720820972, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8603932570584779, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "600537", "hs_description": "Fabrics: warp knit (including those made on galloon knitting machines), other than those of headings 60.01 to 60.04, of synthetic fibres, dyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17783943.09517757, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.64427197237545, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8966669336143247, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "870829", "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts and accessories, of bodies, other than safety seat belts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15107211.085540008, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5218228370417981, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "252310", "hs_description": "Cement clinkers (whether or not coloured)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 79591330.21164343, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.397218023104216, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7557732211040479, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "390950", "hs_description": "Polyurethanes: in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19735147.263667323, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.38001200095195, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0779167337962863, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "401110", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24172015.45222611, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.878211632379616, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.34921593042903293, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "870899", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44461879.809512004, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.58385749533706, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2847661931847236, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "distance_km": 6853, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733, "importer_population": 22156, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.977370466262624, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.977370466262624, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-LKA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-LKA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-LKA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-LKA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-LKA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }