{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.054Z", "seo": { "title": "Japan exports to Lebanon: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to Lebanon, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "JPN", "country_name": "Japan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LBN", "country_name": "Lebanon" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "all_history_lane_count": 57, "current_lane_count": 44, "current_product_count": 44, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 88939700.86383943, "attention_trade_usd": 83004160.87572794, "critical_trade_usd": 24342277.37307264, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 33852923.33785856, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 44623041.29154598, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 30381750.24226876, "access_friction_trade_usd": 88939700.86383943, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 88939700.86383943, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 14, "high_volatility_lane_count": 13, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 26, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 19, "access_friction_lane_count": 44, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1175114211765997, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 48.380214984258295, "product_concentration_hhi": 1505.6162461348026, "top1_product_share_pct": 27.369416735883778, "top3_product_share_pct": 59.45813484917939, "top_product_hs6": "870323", "top_product_trade_usd": 24342277.37307264, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870323", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 8999.5, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.029999999329447746, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18076.62484, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2670, "buyer_population_latest": 6769.151, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.20448672321533, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -17.144054688959663, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.03920581721326144, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.9, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -1.5939999999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 93.32633241346471, "critical_trade_share_pct": 27.369416735883778, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18076.62484, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2670, "buyer_population_2024": 6769.151 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 192576177.05147198, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 191872865.73677734, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3652120036148898, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 217930605.73186475, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.580732166076558, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 226183259.35886702, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7868263612115483, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.508139696227876 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 190086479.89772376, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.959085373277503, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.31131005951771096 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 149738201.3944845, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.22627475922996, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.75878849905514 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 148881710.1289761, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5719924892459205, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.01180950375973 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 161188608.59197453, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.266225886535672, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.348455289718734 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 187238533.62205124, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.161145168774492, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.734352627636554 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 238463641.4510756, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.358208184018572, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.00208677747277 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 212154419.34522521, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.032802294620724, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.59041684192119 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 207268313.10279542, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.3030895408683194, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4457280521803524 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 329649232.9638484, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.0446836899559, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.397804782895825 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 494159169.44601005, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.90454095799548, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.557689348937814 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 425633110.87252057, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.867203688704677, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.106423118114908 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 426210189.51255, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.13558123775814224, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.940806542412538 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 274647196.426412, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.56062168750077, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.781521197357264 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 284000220.758266, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.405468708055781, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.616837667303393 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 313095060.54976594, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.24465393506324, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.770033535353917 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 352623896.44799185, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.625186685735933, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.687314125407507 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 425910445.87247735, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.78320560878224, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.463372604272728 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 478789379.2922319, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.415505168329943, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.209802110322057 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 441435743.93134844, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.801684201120185, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.77513742665894 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 326528659.7263596, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.030308099123722, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.476137916004145 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 390425101.59955066, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.568402334649004, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.5747200377679675 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 90752674.35088247, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.75542018710537, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.98025727806167 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 152407780.33927768, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.9375086512761, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.429734580992555 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 205277998.73468035, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.6899733581234, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.28859804923041 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 207464269.5642639, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0650292983464205, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.733013405182664 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 138514584.17131793, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.234486852970214, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1359132627208353 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 146609052.33306774, "current_below_peak_pct": 87.77410333146204, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.58278570675261, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 95163525.15800695, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.333391331675337, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "870899", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61942567.041128084, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.224597754363955, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4384030054907738, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "840890", "hs_description": "Engines: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of a kind used for other than marine propulsion or the vehicles of chapter 87", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77432392.01744261, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.933630721450943, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2832879948158251, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "401110", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50830089.6145114, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.37500871349698, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5750213341877815, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31633366.48404485, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.93158777063269, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9299828132445238, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "870829", "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts and accessories, of bodies, other than safety seat belts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22563454.759239245, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.30426260901003, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4708496839656881, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "722611", "hs_description": "Steel, alloy: flat-rolled, width less than 600mm, of silicon-electrical steel, grain-oriented", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21890772.122360263, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.65331051723354, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1987697316477852, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "871120", "hs_description": "Motorcycles (including mopeds) and cycles: fitted with an auxiliary motor, reciprocating internal combustion piston engine, of cylinder capacity exceeding 50cc but not exceeding 250cc, with or without side-cars: side-cars", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43899114.204283126, "current_below_peak_pct": 69.8722869330906, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7252219482121989, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "870431", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. not exceeding 5 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15500573.580655048, "current_below_peak_pct": 82.50302542463118, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6331690990212533, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "distance_km": 9004, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553, "importer_population": 6769.151, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 42.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-LBN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-LBN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-LBN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-LBN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-LBN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }