{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.054Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Japan exports to Kuwait: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to Kuwait, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "KWT",
    "country_name": "Kuwait"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "KWT",
    "all_history_lane_count": 247,
    "current_lane_count": 212,
    "current_product_count": 212,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1627324139.7234466,
    "attention_trade_usd": 870502094.4091612,
    "critical_trade_usd": 24323091.99434235,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 438638180.3214732,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 379178998.5241664,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 307856016.8449004,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 1627324139.7234466,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 2,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 43,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 101,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 139,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 88,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 212,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.810203540781371,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 37.283731528069545,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1959.4732443211012,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 38.687253435376995,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 67.75050575194206,
    "top_product_hs6": "870324",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 629567014.1498783,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "870323",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 8313.142578125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.070672613737372,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.070672613737372,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 105960.22568799999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 24812,
    "buyer_population_latest": 4328.553,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6105403309166553,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6290050431921435,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9691492396988197,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.944,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 59.312,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 53.492852048338534,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.4946679275879176,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 105960.22568799999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 24812,
    "buyer_population_2024": 4328.553
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 682636744.2277994,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 815562209.6387388,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.47235722877838,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 872713849.1783843,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.007637046469006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1056922663.3684608,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.10758461819986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.686988630107246
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 672622908.9242071,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.36025300275735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.221160590355456
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 612309612.4843388,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.966881091863698,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.141344755882388
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 670772300.0482968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.54789641906093,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.06357098828488
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 873936838.134807,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.28815263717388,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.119607974969934
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1025320948.1513901,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.32208821173775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.748896999289766
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 848240569.8771703,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.270726653297007,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.138740441773763
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1254935365.2060442,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.945690146342024,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.818530189740196
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1224722194.7348647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4075479350459505,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.102573870386041
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1621973259.693637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.43601419706217,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.11993799389196
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 2087322970.4473176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.69034418246681,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.483015284332605
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1394806658.9118822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.177247667955655,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.430047269410298
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1547818433.0078263,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.97010636695066,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5477963325557509
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1456623414.2704196,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.891842143279713,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.300900367692623
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1857555792.1613448,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.524779154517475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.021092101784568
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1967102915.0156713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.897379950395121,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.318429817728124
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1965013151.2126768,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.10623561111330337,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.494177018565964
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1887713662.5917437,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.933789887015715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5382722119591676
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1745989447.6190307,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.507717816595772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.896727263606703
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1472446946.1275275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.666904623308431,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.17095844842466
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1855702987.3711622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.028512759090017,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5684714266086743
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1805715657.057038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.6937139539198296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1274950300833142
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1467753196.564164,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.716261287986313,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.10637046224907243
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1526632324.7153687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.011514217038248,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.299481165855014
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1635359774.2689044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.122045550411582,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2491812112013796
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1952380036.7754893,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.385352843738033,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.977482619997025
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1772419934.8920393,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.21747295576062,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.101937974935966
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "hs_code": "870324",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1477983131.198001,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.67670662788243,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6753657044938182,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1473811897.594392,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.49591410511169,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.44085605011468215,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 745226209.1610992,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.771811509206515,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4116938841568982,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "hs_code": "870422",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 5 tonnes but not exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71484602.97702968,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6225071286891362,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "hs_code": "840690",
      "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of steam and other vapour turbines",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53606606.20765667,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.699836095872826,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5039712107695768,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "hs_code": "870210",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more passengers), compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 91325502.78846972,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.2456221660186,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1132883739705544,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "hs_code": "401110",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 127276207.5029386,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.86369002097061,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3165172447606869,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "hs_code": "870431",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. not exceeding 5 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 242006071.940465,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.36653843210475,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2841863159201109,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "hs_code": "730424",
      "hs_description": "Steel, stainless: seamless, casing and tubing, of a kind used in drilling for oil or gas",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23109711.658711366,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2102605608956727,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "hs_code": "551512",
      "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: of polyester staple fibres n.e.c. in chapter 55, mixed mainly or solely with man-made filaments",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26594529.942729972,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5292978256462416,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "KWT",
    "distance_km": 8316,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 105960.22568799999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24479.36427900964,
    "importer_population": 4328.553,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.070672613737372,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.070672613737372,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KWT/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KWT/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KWT/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KWT/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KWT/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}