{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.103Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Japan exports to Kiribati: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to Kiribati, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "KIR",
    "country_name": "Kiribati"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "KIR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2024,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 11990779.35,
    "attention_trade_usd": 11990779.35,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 11990779.35,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6939952433593447,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "890120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 11990779.35,
    "top_product_description": "Tankers",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "890120",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 5142.1572265625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.02879999950528145,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 31,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 180.911844,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1515,
    "buyer_population_latest": 121.388,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.247031119642289,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.501389653425615,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6546146661680528,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 100,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 180.911844,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1515,
    "buyer_population_2024": 121.388
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 2131161.836674954,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 3268298.641371859,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.35759983723571,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 7468460.661074505,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 128.5121857144499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 4137726.0295640603,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.597337827193485,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.752263340832204
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 3705262.5903308666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.451717589401554,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.271531599505773
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 8336556.37220936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 124.99232291833154,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.733380521823282
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 2924347.055376363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.92140249749968,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.925021330223018
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 7133012.304625192,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 143.91811811499147,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.39931640528956
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 2650158.4848434413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.8465734858606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.751194967660055
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 4907435.536112015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 85.17517213322141,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.834323174150924
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 10005983.143278375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 103.89433686185016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.94265366823486
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 2886894.7974496325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.14831440237899,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.893128072054152
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 6315727.65450908,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 118.77235222040574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.773456725141582
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 4828874.041568011,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.54207930228811,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.561604124029298
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 7524791.357840664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.82910825723766,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.62199047832093
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 29811543.11192479,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 296.1776705059315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.74658498786972
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 19166218.767795175,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.70873303727583,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.33011282858791
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 36983143.59270078,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.960041001114,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 70.0212169474419
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 27578952.9711726,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.42831600552271,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.561384186154836
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 24362197.80091058,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.66380454553293,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.324495399681652
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 27831939.725159675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.242318991923653,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.040817073129915
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 19194780.71802301,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.03326283553567,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.3793100368901
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 11939690.675615255,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.797202004999,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.157775322187078
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 6090410.833224037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.990212571732336,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.739272367689814
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 3866469.3241013954,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.51545963025568,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.38027123584646
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 7149216.595899886,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.90296952146214,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.714061596505303
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 10049847.971913774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.572716424306044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.169201507660283
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 10015645.72005549,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3403260621839044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.3371808712258
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 9213880.96738877,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.005122935421472,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.824842556275513
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "export_value_usd": 22853659.590021275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 148.03510779994417,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.501918052030064
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "KIR",
      "hs_code": "890120",
      "hs_description": "Tankers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11990779.35,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6939952433593447,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "KIR",
    "distance_km": 5127,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 180.911844,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1490.360200349293,
    "importer_population": 121.388,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 31,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KIR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KIR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KIR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KIR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KIR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}