{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.060Z", "seo": { "title": "Japan exports to Kyrgyzstan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to Kyrgyzstan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "JPN", "country_name": "Japan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KGZ", "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "all_history_lane_count": 86, "current_lane_count": 67, "current_product_count": 67, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 81090182.73305885, "attention_trade_usd": 28663631.921823513, "critical_trade_usd": 13973528.69409189, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 79124573.73198076, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 29058159.475366533, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 35477514.828176916, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 59, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 24, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 47, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.7700481591065569, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 35.270613614376614, "product_concentration_hhi": 1756.8148948724736, "top1_product_share_pct": 34.99272813247572, "top3_product_share_pct": 61.434138591638664, "top_product_hs6": "870324", "top_product_trade_usd": 28375667.185907055, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870323", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 5529.73779296875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.417894875019157, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.417894875019157, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 8543.423503, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1276, "buyer_population_latest": 6694.2, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 13.276519998542934, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.221783044836409, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.8474231373167171, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.829999999999995, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -9.092, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 35.347844776946005, "critical_trade_share_pct": 17.232084357352374, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 8543.423503, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1276, "buyer_population_2024": 6694.2 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 6481076.8086163895, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 7282577.109120333, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.366776759046783, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 3626031.3820732194, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.20950238162036, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 3088289.7945440654, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.830031261938359, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.892939705334403 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 6526078.834552597, "yoy_growth_pct": 111.31691870633094, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.589927819909544 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 5903365.688137791, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.541918849000497, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.640278170141464 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 2677632.0296399673, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.642280842936856, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.644821667993115 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 2959613.951581351, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.531018408055814, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.170574911045506 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 6787799.9759092955, "yoy_growth_pct": 129.34747865621148, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.7634478757669685 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 6150560.98977362, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.388004779123015, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.943483225644552 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 4783287.296439411, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.23006479583797, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.353793676208596 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 11442805.150312982, "yoy_growth_pct": 139.2247097269443, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.01485055342129 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 29166521.84685179, "yoy_growth_pct": 154.88961372425388, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.00542445360307 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 66868333.90628174, "yoy_growth_pct": 129.26399746049754, "cagr_3y_pct": 140.8969743463241 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 37977023.099293485, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.206266881840385, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.163582481322045 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 51213620.71688887, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.85422641734557, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.64248649828415 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 103232858.38366391, "yoy_growth_pct": 101.57305212677632, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.575509515848584 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 115186379.49659301, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.579182539442968, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.75272107338198 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 145439115.04035336, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.26416046408957, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.61151885429073 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 193421464.68646723, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.99136524091249, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.280836260294315 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 34014208.93467301, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.41446005498436, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.408354118556474 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 11278838.815082977, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.84080221667104, "cagr_3y_pct": -57.35569354716412 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 24169547.621788945, "yoy_growth_pct": 114.29109873852856, "cagr_3y_pct": -50.00560873750977 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 26718265.449618697, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.545161488798716, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.7323849399307365 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 20939818.73202685, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.62732729970056, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.904988131530992 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 17371601.65773554, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.040343662735836, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.42425130976824 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 13966998.213698566, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.5986732318428, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.443929663679604 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 56882862.369179726, "yoy_growth_pct": 307.2661963498363, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.53061488975169 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 112758077.0632768, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.22855666344137, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.5388376438393 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 94621975.8066032, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.084081716377717, "cagr_3y_pct": 89.21823112807425 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "870324", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 435118534.49248683, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.663952813887626, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7234290619659438, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1221592858.1462379, "current_below_peak_pct": 85.26800264243025, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6610099819689312, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 183040339.33435842, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2659354332137034, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "840734", "hs_description": "Engines: reciprocating piston engines, of a kind used for the propulsion of vehicles of chapter 87, of a cylinder capacity exceeding 1000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15719846.61837465, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2071444953729225, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "842952", "hs_description": "Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders: with a 360 degree revolving super structure", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71239514.95595369, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.02610912929426, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0347848764890575, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "870333", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 164796496.79120824, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.60538777198488, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4871154891683678, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "870829", "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts and accessories, of bodies, other than safety seat belts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48889658.883138865, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3639121521809692, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "870899", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 363492658.51422364, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.66909450774207, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4794650053805392, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 713147944.7151197, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0515950616614653, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23480967.169466272, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8288061333546688, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "distance_km": 5533, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 8543.423503, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1276.2426433330345, "importer_population": 6694.2, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.417894875019157, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.417894875019157, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KGZ/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KGZ/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KGZ/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KGZ/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-KGZ/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }