{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.105Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Japan exports to Gabon: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to Gabon, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GAB",
    "country_name": "Gabon"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "GAB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 27,
    "current_lane_count": 20,
    "current_product_count": 20,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2006,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 31129910.86174324,
    "attention_trade_usd": 10995377.356940515,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 755275.9103294053,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 14669576.158965996,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 13981215.816633472,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 31129910.86174324,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 8,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 16,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 10,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 20,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7782960179229846,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 29.524688039701314,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3379.6078105090382,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 50.782926040080824,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 86.1038667449036,
    "top_product_hs6": "870323",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 15808679.609262155,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "870333",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 13518.4833984375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.712159030303024,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.712159030303024,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18269.350434,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 8016.999999999999,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2278.829,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.367582550835092,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.0356829896301276,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.285376539736572,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.618000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 52.04,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 35.32094070482278,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18269.350434,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 8016.999999999999,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2278.829
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 43089838.370022096,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 41309273.1397897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.132216080604156,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 49832810.619519465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.633472418859313,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 46095551.33074729,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.49959563249738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2730912530595893
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 28695228.033711694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.74837873655932,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.436648675389382
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 34341046.77053781,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.675113681596468,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.671799606075162
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 36940591.40955556,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.569788586782322,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.114424385140216
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 17848966.418094948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.68196897497994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.637367984944316
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 32935751.88592859,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.52470083947796,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3830989451181996
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 24740118.108715303,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.883700258607956,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.508477342468883
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 40298096.266120605,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.88562604688872,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.186904900019407
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 43317964.8318652,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.493824387638526,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.563732944943993
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 48908021.93425011,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.904708529318532,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.504542013334607
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 55379529.64958862,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.231996427985848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.17869642831446
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 46999363.26198393,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.132245507735076,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7561861020284795
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 51838557.75023058,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.296297975936408,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9586955715213072
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 97964702.4762936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 88.98037817392373,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.940971710255596
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 144898681.14955273,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.90907080498372,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.542831396384756
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 106434701.79665732,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.545430950607475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.099384046782248
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 100811631.3240348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.283117608921728,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9594570287541515
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 66037680.9373512,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.493986388248274,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.044004539961747
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 56907590.99638506,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.825576263993423,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.836210109796347
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 44386254.38623678,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.002928591624404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.924300940406816
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 45917503.39213127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4498270400786346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.407800454784168
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 52215720.610378005,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.716375571338313,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.827429449721608
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 39057818.19878624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.199120605407487,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.173308521910579
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 51879658.61340977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.82784601373865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.153279112400687
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 62386921.53358511,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.253145839821386,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.11190059712412
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 68558802.50881946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.892908358864627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.62900564468766
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 62309037.76730567,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.115918762889441,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.29625853878879
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35954770.59651799,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9043377966865865,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "870333",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13251152.38783723,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 50.54786140376003,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4325169390987923,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "730429",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: casing and tubing, of a kind used in drilling for oil or gas",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28177105.543268457,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.0768903415635,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9868509067097847,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25560630.208403956,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.48686228639984,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8574488863713553,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "401120",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on buses or lorries",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14145969.391385404,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.27868442512501,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6682677953759338,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "870324",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30324189.305788342,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.46487141842904,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8897281726433812,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11534526.015864763,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 83.01651116944151,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2988306391791522,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12091647.054000698,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 91.87376629691374,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7616942423676561,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "840999",
      "hs_description": "Engines: parts for internal combustion piston engines (excluding spark-ignition)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11154937.52661805,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.94902108176798,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3276675562846338,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "870899",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19220369.73484914,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 83.41861414616581,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4221195528533254,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "GAB",
    "distance_km": 13508,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18269.350434,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 8016.990495557147,
    "importer_population": 2278.829,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 10,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.712159030303024,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.712159030303024,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-GAB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-GAB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-GAB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-GAB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-GAB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}