{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.029Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Japan exports to France: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to France, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1511,
    "current_lane_count": 1443,
    "current_product_count": 1443,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 7714371293.673343,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1267451995.554373,
    "critical_trade_usd": 215780864.64309838,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1699164886.671092,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2326429946.907211,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 42167808.64973253,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1203949182.9375238,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 9,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 128,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 499,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 860,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 35,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 339,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7702577115505727,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 33.91440049732287,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 116.54966432965007,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 5.010609892015125,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 11.717339505742649,
    "top_product_hs6": "870340",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 386537051.14757174,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "850760",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 9725.62890625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.04320000112056732,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.854270556868688,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.3002385606666666,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.620174566202021,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519,
    "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.025953008194504,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.671974083461248,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.34476684401285596,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.700000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.02,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 16.42975101021942,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.797128326193777,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 43519,
    "buyer_population_2024": 67499.344
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 7655001328.823612,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 7087242997.463925,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.416828645370566,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 7188116904.215099,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.4233166096784045,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 7785691572.593393,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.31336880494915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5658761521818656
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 8399788997.825171,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.887512875458325,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.827129853791657
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 9241876793.775208,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.025106537414995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.738085158261688
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 7807497677.7310915,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.52043105584604,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.09327271884493893
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 7666089294.967287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8111869974311468,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.0007226052772062
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 8999325738.241388,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.391350295767595,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8825929016580858
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 10447058083.591509,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.087120162771562,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.194702106163621
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 9929742299.69684,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.951784318182185,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.007078770942268
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 9842053111.678654,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8830963117830715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.028784816311214
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 10669586206.107111,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.408134817383782,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7050360194510885
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 11012354971.226688,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.212577868515476,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5096264833234025
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 8101285528.457872,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.434576894541806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.282057616021608
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 8727071954.913942,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.72453241226756,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.4794626883901145
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 10195102114.74852,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.821565897688927,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5375945227848584
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 8784679271.616583,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.83431796226523,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7363164561747366
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 8104249861.537901,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.745637479072897,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.437836647036773
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 7634724805.229037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.793565898519382,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.189945607905914
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 6987290105.267342,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.480131458284735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.346686564791272
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 8242423953.10816,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.96309912614964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5651198577450778
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 8901739767.411716,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.999052439603438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.251227335181086
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 9811963859.427227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.225238164653394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.982215354362967
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 9422151047.318842,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.9728317153742587,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.55987075627291
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 5523889031.4339075,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.37337637984715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.70504380326717
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 6511413956.008143,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.877349073355497,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.775238884534135
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 5841611351.038529,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.286592274656115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.730405222954879
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 6245678505.224465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.917049593073332,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.178530361929456
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 7835899894.998272,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.461147070628076,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.366415603469555
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "870340",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7331091497.549047,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.407332582583647,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "844399",
      "hs_description": "Printing machinery: parts and accessories, n.e.c. in item no. 8443.91",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1446832708.8456843,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.267065298217574,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.47102626774212025,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "850760",
      "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3154424902.4220796,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2551160798486596,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "871150",
      "hs_description": "Motorcycles (including mopeds) and cycles: fitted with auxiliary motor, with reciprocating internal combustion piston engine of a cylinder capacity exceeding 800cc, with or without side-cars: side-cars",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 735048366.4457047,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.6942334072363305,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.26962203405600843,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11932624296.086721,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.385503808408348,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5461566161811118,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "850440",
      "hs_description": "Electrical static converters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3060190184.791551,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8370778196322258,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "381800",
      "hs_description": "Chemical elements: doped for use in electronics, in the form of discs, wafers or similar forms: chemical compounds doped for use in electronics",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 474257878.65186197,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.535438088738566,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6096737068449508,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "871140",
      "hs_description": "Motorcycles (including mopeds) and cycles: fitted with auxiliary motor, reciprocating internal combustion piston engine of cylinder capacity exceeding 500cc but not exceeding 800cc, with or without sidecars: side-cars",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 308310899.9317982,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 43.182676284216484,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3165152669994735,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "842952",
      "hs_description": "Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders: with a 360 degree revolving super structure",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 837288615.3598624,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 40.28031421765249,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5756012820582879,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "870360",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5606366343.369645,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.631098513757916,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.905241383168032,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "distance_km": 9736,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "importer_population": 67499.344,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.854270556868688,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.3002385606666666,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.620174566202021
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-FRA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-FRA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-FRA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-FRA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-FRA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}