{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.026Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Japan exports to Brazil: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to Brazil, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BRA",
    "country_name": "Brazil"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "BRA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1104,
    "current_lane_count": 1000,
    "current_product_count": 1000,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 4976206976.881784,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2643418510.896743,
    "critical_trade_usd": 347895452.5705963,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 932271572.7715877,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1723621142.1062803,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1274532481.523286,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 4976206976.881784,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 16,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 280,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 357,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 609,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 460,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 1000,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8522140626209265,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 32.78974039416827,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 324.3766291227148,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 16.44230451787547,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 20.66343009828278,
    "top_product_hs6": "870840",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 818203104.578668,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: parts, gear boxes",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "293319",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 18549.611328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.83659997252525,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 28.83659997252525,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1608981.220812,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7519,
    "buyer_population_latest": 213993.439,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.134039194863969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.688169663595019,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.43419756407150345,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.334000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.486,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 53.1211527811726,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 6.991177300036588,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1608981.220812,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7519,
    "buyer_population_2024": 213993.439
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2617639444.988428,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2534594847.214139,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1724994797614814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3309953326.4165063,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.591022468722784,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2968171647.855637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.325876073028994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.278088592267726
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2357415860.4631805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.576835164964212,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.386649952576969
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2797114046.049487,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.651702186304785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.456987870828856
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2806834818.1634765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.3475286296502178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.84571112493096
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2089777269.2644997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.546838177251573,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9373418201360533
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2192750553.198808,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.927476504256845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.79389325027795
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2639039505.209189,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.352928487890676,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0337813137368044
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3085616971.9901667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.92196975071727,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.871228102594536
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3452562742.02593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.892136106546292,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.33689009666832
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4348715278.115801,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.95615497964905,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.11499273469368
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 6447661396.17212,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.265889666746475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.845879686554497
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4909449585.265399,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.85689502584509,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.451108704309766
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 6727934568.505377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.04050630640445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.657445254189039
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 7152501463.754099,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.310508684733551,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.518644775860613
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 6844507855.183595,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.306096407407778,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.712852296949094
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 6469654014.225828,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.476709924057954,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.296375900841984
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 5396803393.036131,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.582812911334276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.961265135353369
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4470641466.361416,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.1613056697564,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.235406067088107
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3226055497.8688602,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.839091500788683,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.70175189709773
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3779189743.343023,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.145837876613236,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.19841854749425
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4524587853.837931,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.723754590727125,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.40061994051550087
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4325803782.808519,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.393418305731311,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.271934617487343
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3517885406.5041575,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.676722682502778,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.360024063204247
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4634873755.992537,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.751697978086458,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8059796874494873
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4891522242.783431,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.537335002039012,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.181931664329053
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4722271221.321355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.460088967432906,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.312081515425131
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 5097028493.184367,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.9359539996550765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2190166551225863
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "870840",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts, gear boxes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2560447118.3242607,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9147775907196612,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "293319",
      "hs_description": "Heterocyclic compounds: with nitrogen hetero-atom(s) only, containing an unfused pyrazole ring (whether or not hydrogenated) in the structure, other than henazone (antipyrin) and its derivatives",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 838203535.7476243,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.7259879926409325,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "300215",
      "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3537536291.0227304,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9733526824953325,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "903289",
      "hs_description": "Regulating or controlling instruments and apparatus: automatic, other than hydraulic or pneumatic",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 995135184.0652844,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.741856188977746,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "840991",
      "hs_description": "Engines: parts, suitable for use solely or principally with spark-ignition internal combustion piston engines (for other than aircraft)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 833501586.0536813,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.16084638598755,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5884811392030523,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "720712",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (other than square) cross-section",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 476086935.1067668,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0317021256527343,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "870340",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 610407864.1423631,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.61547227656837,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0964380214689464,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "844399",
      "hs_description": "Printing machinery: parts and accessories, n.e.c. in item no. 8443.91",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 452976544.83929574,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.63112270018855,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.782647187751461,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "270400",
      "hs_description": "Coke and semi-coke: of coal, lignite or peat, whether or not agglomerated: retort carbon",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 956915106.9065355,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.66975744757383,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.684556932486165,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "871410",
      "hs_description": "Motorcycles (including mopeds): parts and accessories",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 782253693.4878626,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.44220998337664,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.48855851601352823,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "BRA",
    "distance_km": 18530,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067,
    "importer_population": 213993.439,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.83659997252525,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 28.83659997252525,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-BRA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-BRA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-BRA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-BRA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-BRA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}