{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.029Z", "seo": { "title": "Japan exports to Australia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to Australia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "JPN", "country_name": "Japan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "AUS", "country_name": "Australia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "all_history_lane_count": 1208, "current_lane_count": 1101, "current_product_count": 1101, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 16285887398.863506, "attention_trade_usd": 6947694231.463593, "critical_trade_usd": 216608364.04239753, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3908265995.988408, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3740349418.7586107, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 4290718.879377361, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 8366630109.395165, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 8, "high_attention_lane_count": 143, "high_volatility_lane_count": 321, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 705, "declining_demand_lane_count": 5, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 492, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9108003771599119, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.80256418986618, "product_concentration_hhi": 796.1938924518452, "top1_product_share_pct": 17.910449494418877, "top3_product_share_pct": 42.08408811189468, "top_product_hs6": "870323", "top_product_trade_usd": 2916875637.2913766, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870340", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 7831.4462890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.11640000343322754, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.688196587404038, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.872936858989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.23308760154715163, "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.639849257442746, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1542659.899993, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 59934, "buyer_population_latest": 25739.256, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.672430715538289, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.1982410002894257, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4285027544653106, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.404000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 25.023999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 42.660826894507636, "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.3300372201855781, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1542659.899993, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 59934, "buyer_population_2024": 25739.256 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 8131299574.531047, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 7415928110.92865, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.797750679892447, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 7911798117.49044, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.686553579599042, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 7928202404.66164, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.20733955704625995, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8396032445109336 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 8356865640.273281, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.406814984435759, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.062112069120505 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 8716941819.285177, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.308746777938155, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2831916751596912 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 7791657817.610757, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.61477776101868, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5774157189802787 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 8470555531.663642, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.713135637430526, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4514379676302527 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 10270288353.436556, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.246927843697662, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.618378721549266 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 12085326805.480267, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.672711705668686, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.75582176554946 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 12768636741.987087, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.654045997307766, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.659720629858164 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 12791812677.31757, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.18150673246324356, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.592785506382782 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 14740692973.6695, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.235372386336476, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.8447450835738 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 17741490335.13128, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.35723399722076, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.58740783120571 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 12895272746.762619, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.315729946160694, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2688761178694321 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 16692778942.570438, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.448824157373398, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.232602279606534 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 18132826089.27246, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.62676700899434, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7299146031588988 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 19021023696.896137, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.898285591285423, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.83289599661417 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 17449043958.13912, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.264432891766681, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4879152803910278 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 14822731550.65014, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.051325527000758, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.497996730491717 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 13742235569.296627, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.289452538902131, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.269276923300573 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 14090405250.12399, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.5335738066174285, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.87836003665806 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 15949992253.347414, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.197540952252318, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4733052243165687 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 17561961452.4081, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.106394871272627, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.518856850414958 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 14928662053.626867, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.994335376018919, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9449696655112314 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 12286401793.435076, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.699243580571668, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.331228245733158 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 15493324266.963764, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.10139671032268, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.09147829901989 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 17033463827.739065, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.94066563274172, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.49464348375006 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 17248865996.540295, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2645823009319157, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.972646986043479 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 16481840489.969013, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.446817006550619, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.08306445153994 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6925783208.56973, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.312105158753408, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3400543010671233, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4461092092.896711, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.072186600801197, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24734372976.677727, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.00018526523065, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9211184906567838, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "870333", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2834457089.7460485, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.695759636239494, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5081044243232892, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5886960698.652998, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.40019670890130604, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "870422", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 5 tonnes but not exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 659424244.1579589, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.236628941427263, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.40935028846534177, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "401180", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on construction, mining or industrial handling vehicles and machines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1000781513.3880379, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6173386613776626, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "870324", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1467056975.227395, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.428177412694694, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5007755026717371, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "870423", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 712095594.1768501, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7597376929153311, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "870360", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 865382804.1026571, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.3709388653514045, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "distance_km": 8156, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1542659.8999929999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 59934.12940890754, "importer_population": 25739.256, "importer_biz_entry_days": 2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.688196587404038, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.872936858989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.23308760154715163, "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.639849257442746 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-AUS/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-AUS/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-AUS/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-AUS/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-AUS/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }