{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.785Z", "seo": { "title": "Jordan exports to Zambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Jordan to Zambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "JOR", "country_name": "Jordan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZMB", "country_name": "Zambia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "all_history_lane_count": 15, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 218712.52827232104, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 48090.39013383091, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 218712.52827232104, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 218712.52827232104, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8702112619163578, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 72.74192028158129, "product_concentration_hhi": 6569.350465543792, "top1_product_share_pct": 78.01205513295831, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "310420", "top_product_trade_usd": 170622.13813849012, "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 5340.4638671875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646473, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646473, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1121, "buyer_population_latest": 18920.656, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6556563915409939, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1688252989154657, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8578853777657898, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.05800000000001, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.70399999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1121, "buyer_population_2024": 18920.656 }, "history": [ { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1387.8400587196973, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 53687.87942955462, "yoy_growth_pct": 3768.448607765543, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 34916.39812829863, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.96409524963, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 133813.73970275518, "yoy_growth_pct": 283.2403881152432, "cagr_3y_pct": 358.5504209120812 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 349929.7477198476, "yoy_growth_pct": 161.5050954387479, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.79627194656751 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 82841.99370250004, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.32610709941041, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.37477561783071 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 68145.06983013055, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.74091039521416, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.143321178348515 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 293125.49870381, "yoy_growth_pct": 330.1492381393138, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.733457485609572 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 228883.33342147304, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.91626643414285, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.3205276809967 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 94228.4634591073, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.83122547608479, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.407874724021273 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 16515.73803543675, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.47266544614287, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.66329388795575 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 33120.11451682584, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.53669079614944, "cagr_3y_pct": -47.5000100865968 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 37534.821355989356, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.329382774086529, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.421530822217644 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1907767.6377107655, "yoy_growth_pct": 4982.660763500202, "cagr_3y_pct": 387.0151789713206 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 4163239.542934895, "yoy_growth_pct": 118.22571368967098, "cagr_3y_pct": 400.93324687298406 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 2506868.841586238, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.785620891297334, "cagr_3y_pct": 305.7256080002559 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 5253490.227092829, "yoy_growth_pct": 109.56382479781621, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.165398826081166 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1637583.6815507947, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.82865274773721, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.730363994454443 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 678514.5769356913, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.566112707404564, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.31416480239762 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 2188624.677650657, "yoy_growth_pct": 222.56118763651736, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.31366969198967 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 2003419.16652599, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.462186916555869, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.952130645940646 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 532617.1434957634, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.41459279241383, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.753056275755277 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 904503.5726640305, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.82246698396504, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.513140341770534 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 174966.3238449484, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.65609367029687, "cagr_3y_pct": -55.63291650849151 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 33846.316468493605, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.6555251749545, "cagr_3y_pct": -60.0945612687798 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 135281.23276115832, "yoy_growth_pct": 299.6926309162389, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.918593501497185 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 841862.4609959545, "yoy_growth_pct": 522.3054327737235, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.821942284011 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 459862.1664269569, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.37561802162756, "cagr_3y_pct": 138.61922089197972 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310420", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15827674.809879487, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.87104369885385, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6160006394476586, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310520", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18261127.455780275, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.11942377382114, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.772136986004277, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "distance_km": 5305, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065, "importer_population": 18920.656, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 45243.661972, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4405.8394238516585, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646473, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646473, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-ZMB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-ZMB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-ZMB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-ZMB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-ZMB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }