{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.766Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Jordan exports to Nigeria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Jordan to Nigeria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "JOR",
    "country_name": "Jordan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NGA",
    "country_name": "Nigeria"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
    "importer_iso3": "NGA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 73,
    "current_lane_count": 10,
    "current_product_count": 10,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1530162.2811672855,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 828848.0647875725,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 775751.838680804,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1340864.4864166845,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 1530162.2811672855,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 6,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2962682526079818,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 57.55732583932544,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2567.315942431418,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 37.84576833558294,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 80.56194262492711,
    "top_product_hs6": "481920",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 579101.6720890421,
    "top_product_description": "Paper and paperboard: folding cartons, boxes and cases, of non-corrugated paper or paperboard",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 4404.51953125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.2,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 440776.971536,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2085,
    "buyer_population_latest": 211400.711,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.702539793973116,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -19.412873862302447,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1223415578896843,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.304000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.386000000000003,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 440776.971536,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2085,
    "buyer_population_2024": 211400.711
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 106190.02856647891,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 287677.6914935822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 170.90838506883466,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 241930.98336054792,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.902070089454556,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 193571.88195848546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.988800413377916,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.157324329554996
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 716446.5322765732,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 270.1191128731323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.54781876712012
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 8178013.252524402,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1041.4687466680912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 223.33454455868466
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 9278884.61940257,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.461354645498403,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 263.26021362183576
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 6805217.546293187,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.65909939150265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 111.78055204932585
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3426663.5249458253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.64652486661011,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.17020583831444
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 659958.9337877198,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.74048038322778,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -58.567572482137706
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1443704.0636146916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 118.75665131598456,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.35893518869674
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 9899234.67687864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 585.6830929805178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.42188169276726
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 4016335.5433772174,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.42781765990397,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 82.5734793643502
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2679966.8359988024,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.27333319005269,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.89958421751457
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1257566.8340990006,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.07528372341535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.729891985864604
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1555287.9056632514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.67437367872036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.111289216507195
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2761017.635561885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.52453584369967,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9981115846744659
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 8368994.402144681,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 203.11267462953154,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 88.09650847291088
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 5593482.401881768,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.164223404805306,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.21119280978166
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 4770725.715197517,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.709203096937584,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.997377796137883
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 6022831.388006063,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.245601771232984,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.3860110687646
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2703687.3631602945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.109363205079106,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.520167935794
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 4158083.638422793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.79306406057538,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.478106187474995
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2412858.135916913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.97187104124397,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.28140867965717
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 4711053.282809984,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 95.2478354480518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.33367538364228
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 8291059.347703151,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 75.99162756142326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.865179940737605
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3286866.9093566085,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.35649038904589,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.853678814173096
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 19749228.398338813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 500.8526947689722,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.24170138183502
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 25027022.678733207,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.724053081680555,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.52169764729648
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2662137.5694205947,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.36294738853314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.7856465098953045
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "481920",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: folding cartons, boxes and cases, of non-corrugated paper or paperboard",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13232746.839633988,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.64560739167609,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4273581558741305,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "880390",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts thereof n.e.c. in chapter 88",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11603163.53109886,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 82.66284782538928,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1048889556567247,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "410150",
      "hs_description": "Hides and skins: raw, whole, of bovine or equine animals, of a weight per skin exceeding 16 kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38750875.14415961,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.25665134659904,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8689241990408265,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "870590",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: break-down lorries, road-sweepers, spraying lorries, mobile workshops, mobile radiological units, and other special purpose vehicles n.e.s. in heading no. 8705",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20089363.699927535,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 90.59861647721414,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2296060208001554,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "847420",
      "hs_description": "Machines: for crushing or grinding earth, stone, ores or other mineral substances",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35787530.48458376,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.914605709884324,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "902830",
      "hs_description": "Meters: electricity supply or production meters, including calibrating meters thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18001348.782429744,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3126358569739927,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "847410",
      "hs_description": "Machines: for sorting, screening, separating or washing earth, stone, ores or other mineral substances",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24139779.964815043,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "902214",
      "hs_description": "Apparatus based on the use of x-rays: including radiography or radiotherapy apparatus, for medical, surgical or veterinary uses, not dental uses, excluding computed tomography apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21992142.66799342,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 97.47381163128681,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4165625255485415,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "391740",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: tube, pipe and hose fittings (e.g. joints, elbows, flanges)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15592368.575090852,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.582711554511706,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "391739",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: tubes, pipes and hoses thereof, n.e.s. in item no. 3917.30",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15914235.611092128,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.89858881484865,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7571664159061895,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
    "importer_iso3": "NGA",
    "distance_km": 4403,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767,
    "importer_population": 211400.711,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.2,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 26.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 45243.661972,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4405.8394238516585,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-NGA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-NGA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-NGA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-NGA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-NGA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}