{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.118Z", "seo": { "title": "Jordan exports to Lithuania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Jordan to Lithuania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "JOR", "country_name": "Jordan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LTU", "country_name": "Lithuania" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "all_history_lane_count": 15, "current_lane_count": 5, "current_product_count": 5, "first_observed_last_year": 2003, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 6132077.937143336, "attention_trade_usd": 4115935.624231468, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 391834.7665747816, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 466274.088786382, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4115935.624231468, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.23635482011611872, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 29.353317250902645, "product_concentration_hhi": 5127.128413324984, "top1_product_share_pct": 67.12138473159884, "top3_product_share_pct": 97.5534337388379, "top_product_hs6": "310530", "top_product_trade_usd": 4115935.624231468, "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "310530", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 2665.35546875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65503.849705, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23433, "buyer_population_latest": 2795.321, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.014668841947326, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.425656534698645, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5432407108000303, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.136, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.744, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 67.12138473159884, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65503.849705, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23433, "buyer_population_2024": 2795.321 }, "history": [ { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 1036.8054446808867, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 3003.9558123314455, "yoy_growth_pct": 189.731870886926, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 36801.441513984246, "yoy_growth_pct": 1125.0992961651366, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 96057.47968156917, "yoy_growth_pct": 161.0155356144626, "cagr_3y_pct": 352.492417594559 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 164239.48363057597, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.98042148829049, "cagr_3y_pct": 279.5433125277078 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 3466317.9332935335, "yoy_growth_pct": 2010.5265656401634, "cagr_3y_pct": 354.9893046475729 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 190188.69581855473, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.51323567316729, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.569598101407067 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 2715854.7911470504, "yoy_growth_pct": 1327.9790812268102, "cagr_3y_pct": 154.76689353879314 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 4571570.565524918, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.32897621872117, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.664402800432526 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 6423709.6177808475, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.51428334549316, "cagr_3y_pct": 223.24642721154896 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 327638.5241551926, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.89954335344973, "cagr_3y_pct": -50.58833688839683 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 105190.12257844956, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.89445842802535, "cagr_3y_pct": -71.55736392817576 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 215783.6031320989, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.13675413884039, "cagr_3y_pct": -67.73407053880481 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 131808.28385276152, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.91645058310069, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.178548271731096 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 66584.31948405723, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.4839644840257, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.138395199717845 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 59485.100142327065, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.661998796022809, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.91764609693296 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 154804.84004909045, "yoy_growth_pct": 160.24137082848736, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.50683854054248 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 167358.10625889167, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.109091554127401, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.964311916297454 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 195887.63643654346, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.04699629757911, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.77602225188116 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 162149.204907807, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.22335934134659, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.557054451522344 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 301506.0558003875, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.94359187380196, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.67922328708851 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 334601.01640051435, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.976549214665665, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.538208612038922 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 108970.57228279323, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.43268342246861, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.407927395919561 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 82974.00588509305, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.856501671144404, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.954787109485295 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 334824.0071650701, "yoy_growth_pct": 303.52879626994593, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.022209660209160376 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 252408.47896250535, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.61458152310251, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.31169589591036 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 629497.9378008094, "yoy_growth_pct": 149.3965101284572, "cagr_3y_pct": 96.4946595265255 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 12435248.781096911, "yoy_growth_pct": 1875.4232753391116, "cagr_3y_pct": 233.6409093225631 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 7769926.423720842, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.516920163816316, "cagr_3y_pct": 213.40384635904348 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "310530", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36918208.3297503, "current_below_peak_pct": 20.33368920257103, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.1131747466306967, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "310420", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31372656.450119544, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.6637704093143, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.24737871478311563, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "310520", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 103905906.73180604, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.62009066138421, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3980617160407793, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "390769", "hs_description": "Poly(ethylene terephthalate): in primary forms, having a viscosity of less than 78ml/g", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20114709.375669144, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "481920", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: folding cartons, boxes and cases, of non-corrugated paper or paperboard", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44478256.808602, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.02619801349611, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9539445430379057, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JOR", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "distance_km": 2663, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201, "importer_population": 2795.321, "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 45243.661972, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4405.8394238516585, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-LTU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-LTU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-LTU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-LTU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-LTU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }