{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.134Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Jordan exports to Sri Lanka: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Jordan to Sri Lanka, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "JOR",
    "country_name": "Jordan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LKA",
    "country_name": "Sri Lanka"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
    "importer_iso3": "LKA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 22,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1786284.5716057923,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1330495.5195936286,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1609404.9292509665,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1428063.1868496705,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1609404.9292509665,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2434791883204561,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 65.26835989316302,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5758.7712511216105,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 74.48396189178138,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 93.43030084850565,
    "top_product_hs6": "310490",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1330495.5195936286,
    "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, n.e.c. in heading no. 3104",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "310490",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 5332.04248046875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 84518.83039300001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3815,
    "buyer_population_latest": 22156,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1452073861579324,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.039656303460391,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.1034412369869564,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.916000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.772,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 74.48396189178138,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 84518.83039300001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3815,
    "buyer_population_2024": 22156
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1479671.3526155537,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1506364.5288708296,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8039935833110254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1567720.5435500792,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.07311865775557,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1608149.8923926144,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.5788619667497237,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8143545515459722
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 2961456.055864671,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.15298660118056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.273267143393085
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1451387.9603218348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.99073114903723,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5373335534033203
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1228238.5290995103,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.374898877681387,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.591749488608913
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 2646098.5299104606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 115.43848912234189,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6836004566548564
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 4573795.240307068,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 72.85052648670032,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.61027240652083
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 6431306.281647439,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.61202882391526,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.64894880899293
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 9643822.077717338,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.95121761246586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.89141489002023
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 3206464.0650624163,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.75110719357676,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.165181443997273
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1481344.3788539136,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.80131045301211,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.70115658006361
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 5284108.713165881,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 256.71034963889286,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.17094830361975
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1422653.7584249594,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.07675077009152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.729320984133185
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1531085.1194967371,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.621767449011885,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1069711790663073
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 4889918.024313801,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 219.37597472837447,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.551173972135923
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1260039.045440444,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.23189838407845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.965282650958135
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 738239.2165903384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.41140155444243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.584979780108338
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1073792.5735776206,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.4532012722221,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.66912753810667
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1709362.5978004176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.189273595479385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.700622914129143
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 2253468.7155998237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.830936192213045,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.06126946482281
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1130701.7759784607,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.82394172365988,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7362891847809925
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 7678810.886055373,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 579.1190258289336,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 65.00100582588793
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1966997.8609564465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.38408250776834,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.430909834750718
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 4230467.999014406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 115.0723233098665,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.24350757451864
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 3519149.8842633427,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.814170794266335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.901144568791455
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 3392908.1219580034,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5872800664119797,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.928592630653608
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 2020659.617778583,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.444611373311034,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.830935224751947
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 4167110.4296567133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 106.2252540206567,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.795147505731868
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "310490",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, n.e.c. in heading no. 3104",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13688760.642464977,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 74.03181642052402,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.25047998322102,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "600690",
      "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to 60.04,and other than those made of wool, fine animal hair, cotton, synthetic or artificial fibres",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 115734235.61172925,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.58775462629352,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9925926438946604,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "940320",
      "hs_description": "Furniture: metal, other than for office use",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11059868.077970011,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3901705576729628,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "310420",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49661418.79690318,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 93.4835216217203,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3033526258093118,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "392490",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: household articles and hygienic or toilet articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11715826.054969886,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.70686314509833,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5225487566046434,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "JOR",
    "importer_iso3": "LKA",
    "distance_km": 5323,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733,
    "importer_population": 22156,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 45243.661972,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4405.8394238516585,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-LKA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-LKA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-LKA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-LKA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JOR-LKA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}