{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.037Z", "seo": { "title": "Jamaica exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Jamaica to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "JAM", "country_name": "Jamaica" }, "importer": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "all_history_lane_count": 138, "current_lane_count": 59, "current_product_count": 59, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 462246442.9417754, "attention_trade_usd": 94912623.53696871, "critical_trade_usd": 68284255.70007867, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 46841778.725352585, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 142695624.1501282, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 120636560.83479653, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 3, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 21, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 17, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 27, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7150162604542792, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 31.526663544667795, "product_concentration_hhi": 1228.4930429907158, "top1_product_share_pct": 28.653991506239418, "top3_product_share_pct": 49.589704616706484, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 132452056.49843015, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271111", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 2549.896484375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9408000111579895, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.3189822507150706, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.67447546369697, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.47014662460989914, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.204328839087071, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288, "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 20.532905117222054, "critical_trade_share_pct": 14.772262013637553, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288, "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 757899697.6142821, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 749938475.3099415, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0504321784796766, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 655094138.6670932, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.646949018537846, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 674771224.7456336, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.003703577409045, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.798552492367968 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 650062135.1416336, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.6618469635118944, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.652404619566042 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 659350811.1574988, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.4288904881133213, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.21612598380846837 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 448715751.9884849, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.945825439911324, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.715273820929774 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 385097595.84120566, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.177829921360075, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.014306545158753 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 427951006.23266214, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.127935062239924, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.418354443666214 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 342985307.37877756, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.854071521376838, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.567330392400429 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 391994538.324196, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.289017602522215, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5934576568591865 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 546076731.2936268, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.30722954154997, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.464230582554721 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 729912261.5414078, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.664780004869364, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.6268737426141 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 752996224.3393506, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.162566792506638, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.30948317546182 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 499315217.4874858, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.68954566464587, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.9399798974788505 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 421022761.9901574, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.679965832263187, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.75752732340402 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 605455821.6967767, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.805959287049426, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.011361936890081 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 561459846.7627532, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.266587149286263, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9875390094271435 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 475050033.3207994, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.390203580927952, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.106519091513472 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 328778332.54002535, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.79079897295731, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.41564024655915 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 321575653.36788213, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1907402219902616, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.9534709035264 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 338023443.87367845, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.114749930082563, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.723773966727613 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 365217682.48589766, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.04507471451652, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5657614477824673 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 414264234.88235, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.429402449139683, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.808985209222374 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 438366656.1576298, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.818127476566937, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.05114507017184 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 434222977.69974715, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9452540241547625, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.938463142960826 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 554887867.5728376, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.788692922769933, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.232399961893336 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 545254407.6723741, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7361093048585907, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.544257160055778 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 486925277.2300529, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.697599069638208, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8922550440395165 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 484548501.6388002, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.48811916373973085, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.417729677477222 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33676675741.516453, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.192112704593203, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8329066730631507, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "260600", "hs_description": "Aluminium ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 159245921.70146978, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.6310398216801, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2776977921561853, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "071430", "hs_description": "Vegetable roots and tubers: yams (Dioscorea spp.) with high starch or inulin content, fresh, chilled, frozen or dried, whether or not sliced or in the form of pellets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 100793921.49429095, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.593426288806399, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5297434643227621, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "271111", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 909975453.5130324, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.35579559092931, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0529871323706472, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "210390", "hs_description": "Sauces and preparations therefor: mixed condiments and mixed seasonings", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2275867242.4403267, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.578112450545692, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.724112104106516, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "281820", "hs_description": "Aluminium oxide: other than artificial corundum", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 609054823.2892435, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.52360713113006, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7568949853254516, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "281830", "hs_description": "Aluminium hydroxide", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 242711758.08638236, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.580061509562395, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.824192094309443, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "190590", "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7424759587.35581, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7522288043133952, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "220300", "hs_description": "Beer: made from malt", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7564644773.563693, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.283694878995725, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5900106033767366, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "220840", "hs_description": "Rum and other spirits obtained by distilling fermented sugar-cane products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 161998532.20034721, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.438662528028512, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.34064269543201137, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JAM", "importer_iso3": "USA", "distance_km": 2533, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "importer_population": 331893.738, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13638.230995999998, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4586.650509069898, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.3189822507150706, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.67447546369697, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.47014662460989914, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.204328839087071 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JAM-USA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JAM-USA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JAM-USA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JAM-USA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JAM-USA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }