{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.608Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Italy exports to Zimbabwe: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to Zimbabwe, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ITA",
    "country_name": "Italy"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ZWE",
    "country_name": "Zimbabwe"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
    "all_history_lane_count": 54,
    "current_lane_count": 14,
    "current_product_count": 14,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 19753649.537473727,
    "attention_trade_usd": 17613061.09854377,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 19363799.231138676,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3661341.1386501724,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 19695238.52766491,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 11,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 10,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 13,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 2.2779796762458884,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 14.57250160062921,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5575.581188034876,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 73.61951870063865,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 89.1635799507876,
    "top_product_hs6": "840690",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 14542541.715299092,
    "top_product_description": "Turbines: parts of steam and other vapour turbines",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "840690",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 6915.10400390625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.12179999053478241,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 27,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 26217.726717,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1737,
    "buyer_population_latest": 15092.171,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.484738370653396,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.7134131471191925,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7245315575260545,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 11.168,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.618,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 89.1635799507876,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 26217.726717,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1737,
    "buyer_population_2024": 15092.171
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 43956279.26154524,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 57709233.10159287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.287802496239216,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 49692046.634972125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.892380882114786,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 33297497.70774422,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.992299648390414,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.841558570096664
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 24491525.444412377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.446348433215082,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.850947208464092
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 19713974.855354495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.506953945769258,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.521135211601145
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 10502553.09933406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.72533988506397,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.929162160748838
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 14010024.87719917,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.396372717101606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.987972065834754
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 15434813.830367988,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.169781750263795,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.832940405494426
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 16048058.802188775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9731284002546774,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.179681610733153
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 10189008.691933345,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.509400809625156,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.071432506783683
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 7733950.196284286,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.095165387313223,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.57327448042303
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 10231604.589682885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.29467904510914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.932257136846872
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 17467469.13252999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.72072106992331,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.68305983900478
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 8199848.64048274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.056458389773184,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9689987572079737
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 17598766.180634707,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.6230613788334,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.81545032769474
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 20649335.936730873,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.33399787681107,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.736606579372183
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 27283334.922021545,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.126936215368396,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.28993861813198
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 46309822.32052267,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.73666325205734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.05865280185257
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 22160376.811424166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.14756675582499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.382017584103502
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 21771398.03318442,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7552895492247145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.246646357700204
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 15753989.606685081,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.63905385096299,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.19190071825414
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 20816938.96432954,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.13756949221318,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0630497436561646
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 15398243.70259405,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.030221210815817,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.903298995832955
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 13959619.941668302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.342778233100645,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9506684762220745
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 14015845.976880675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.4027762607242913,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.353586554876884
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 17081030.237577822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.869420267268993,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5176229657640334
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 22097746.721639853,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.370104813850073,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.544414839993983
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 31692248.479849312,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.41846197745478,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.253606451289407
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 38939858.09946967,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.868713856729215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.61137741030675
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "hs_code": "840690",
      "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of steam and other vapour turbines",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25096926.72487645,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4067830980624723,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "hs_code": "843810",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: industrial, for bakery and for the manufacture of macaroni, spaghetti or similar products",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10138350.159937415,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.83824538865434,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.360284164220358,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "hs_code": "841370",
      "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19095853.786534745,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.65456808425925,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4684669885593187,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "hs_code": "902830",
      "hs_description": "Meters: electricity supply or production meters, including calibrating meters thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11816452.410184555,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 83.38696332277428,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.67374031804831,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "hs_code": "842240",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for packing or wrapping",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16157961.074414512,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.32379721084935,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.408211558252891,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "hs_code": "870422",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 5 tonnes but not exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38831998.72083624,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.765493901118056,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8791620455974397,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "hs_code": "848180",
      "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18445417.112106085,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.8075709807039,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0163533276775603,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "hs_code": "841381",
      "hs_description": "Pumps and liquid elevators: n.e.c. in heading no. 8413",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17603725.01610312,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 83.09693712936797,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7081988254049147,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11499506.527108246,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.08585363968854,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8384544901317421,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "hs_code": "842482",
      "hs_description": "Mechanical appliances: agricultural or horticultural, n.e.c. in heading 8424",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25697234.465092875,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4975260254752416,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
    "distance_km": 6883,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 26217.726717,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1737.1739769579872,
    "importer_population": 15092.171,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 27,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 76.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-ZWE/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-ZWE/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-ZWE/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-ZWE/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-ZWE/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}