{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.937Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Italy exports to Uganda: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to Uganda, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ITA",
    "country_name": "Italy"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "UGA",
    "country_name": "Uganda"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "UGA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 55,
    "current_lane_count": 42,
    "current_product_count": 42,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 77913884.97509135,
    "attention_trade_usd": 59174614.418927275,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 42602383.183756605,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3094581.8032882386,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 64006920.07517269,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 7,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 33,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 19,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 29,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5783274665936131,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 6.805416285961926,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2072.9273898977267,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 41.234534659667794,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 63.64451185120771,
    "top_product_hs6": "841182",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 32127427.90474774,
    "top_product_description": "Turbines: gas-turbines (excluding turbo-jets and turbo-propellers), of a power exceeding 5000kW",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "841182",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 5044.427734375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.02319999970495701,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 24,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 40434.701516999994,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 858,
    "buyer_population_latest": 47123.531,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.805671720289032,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.56605150525753,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0688087399671105,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.022,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.612000000000002,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 75.94874063569681,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 40434.701516999994,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 858,
    "buyer_population_2024": 47123.531
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 23365980.815011166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 20014786.579493865,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.342193730486885,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 22721463.534733433,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.523386544689364,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 25493826.444862343,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.201515566507881,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.947784092512995
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 15583669.856586598,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.8727702752244,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.00315679194884
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 12886084.17794792,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.310336419238993,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.2258199388336
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 12663441.514135763,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7277759537933757,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.803575530432106
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 15887293.223638922,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.457942897311803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6452749689952908
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 20877362.69645686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.40918596122557,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.449604148695496
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 19146726.52232872,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.289534455527047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.775077605481757
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 33091873.95853786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 72.83306323901608,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.709680024885053
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 30179596.873425636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.800580737014574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.06962003151433
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 48701439.784356564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.37206864827331,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.505166434768974
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 76246836.27667795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.55971694941402,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.078913857838586
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 54664412.18960058,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.305992931642344,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.898141060778144
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 57663832.2234344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.4869702493653305,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.792261298926182
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 45167315.56662789,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.671325291710264,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.015175844212948
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 56528578.20812431,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.153725650879167,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1240512235519473
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 44486437.27046836,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.30274866160573,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.284787847162189
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 44427148.5992765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.13327358815317103,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5492520920315713
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 44396434.57509489,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.06913345814434368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.737190081767132
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 58172078.16119799,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.02871597222996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.35256746806903
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 59605821.051110946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.464658192096869,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.292693955872
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 64094503.66667651,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.530611165839973,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.020588667282329
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 64146810.67144869,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.08160918921256144,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.312648817437003
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 67063955.592645146,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.547607107292784,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.008020365161835
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 62718547.040940255,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.479499327626071,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7207700382684146
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 72178769.17089014,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.083611748490622,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.0107276089893285
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 71574331.71525513,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8374172385843148,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.1933678977782867
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 129924382.60361035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.5237103721622,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.47691877268055
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "841182",
      "hs_description": "Turbines: gas-turbines (excluding turbo-jets and turbo-propellers), of a power exceeding 5000kW",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32127481.694741804,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "841459",
      "hs_description": "Fans: n.e.c. in item no. 8414.51",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11413809.134943804,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 5.026852957477442,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "848180",
      "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32605739.416471403,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.4501896139995853,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "842230",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for filling, closing, sealing, capsuling or labelling bottles, cans, bags or other containers, machinery for aerating beverages",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15782492.18345105,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3984037336319868,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "841480",
      "hs_description": "Pumps and compressors: for air, vacuum or gas, n.e.s. in heading no. 8414",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16804187.246541597,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.2711762304024274,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "843780",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for use in the milling industry or for the working of cereals or dried leguminous vegetables, other than farm-type machinery",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12890012.133969167,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.38358871946894,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6839867790310181,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70874566.92437118,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.221954463581467,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "845521",
      "hs_description": "Metal-rolling mills: hot or combination hot and cold rolling mills",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15172865.543912783,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.403067003292802,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "853720",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10983847.282004213,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.683206259040969,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6090843882459978,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "841989",
      "hs_description": "Machinery, plant and laboratory equipment: for treating materials by change of temperature, other than for making hot drinks or cooking or heating food",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11617825.323340515,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.789136476852676,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7846017155459541,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "UGA",
    "distance_km": 5028,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309,
    "importer_population": 47123.531,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 24,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-UGA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-UGA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-UGA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-UGA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-UGA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}