{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.594Z", "seo": { "title": "Italy exports to Turkmenistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to Turkmenistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TKM", "country_name": "Turkmenistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "all_history_lane_count": 71, "current_lane_count": 36, "current_product_count": 36, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 46289671.05386425, "attention_trade_usd": 28492119.44159797, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 45057339.768864244, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 29089717.94286423, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 26418260.093864232, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 6, "high_volatility_lane_count": 31, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 26, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 25, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.8448710320652293, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 49.77944861624262, "product_concentration_hhi": 891.1791062403994, "top1_product_share_pct": 14.444192798907004, "top3_product_share_pct": 38.77503214726698, "top_product_hs6": "680221", "top_product_trade_usd": 6686169.333, "top_product_description": "Marble, travertine and alabaster: simply cut or sawn, with a flat or even surface", "top_attention_product_hs6": "680221", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 3894.447509765625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.722281389961686, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.722281389961686, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 45231.428571000004, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7612, "buyer_population_latest": 6117.933, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.7170849124341885, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.711998715992592, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.952144074214579, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.456, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 54.25600000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 61.551786376800045, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 45231.428571000004, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7612, "buyer_population_2024": 6117.933 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 12534957.860951707, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 14957729.514611628, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.328119651739883, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 16102298.03655842, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.652020454232078, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 16369460.139211304, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.659155122121847, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.304277892431267 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 12197490.948877474, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.486296767602745, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.57388786543528 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 19234740.782136116, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.694241075917944, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.104261198050809 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 14246892.01490273, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.931458207462576, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.523770746146005 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 14791618.527243225, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.823476108127255, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.638754605584918 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 48135260.11689031, "yoy_growth_pct": 225.42253593299958, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.76640813889045 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 65790408.03752681, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.67820196206115, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.52552663930284 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 22657220.718515903, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.56151360910813, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.273721058022494 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 27931925.963712636, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.2804601708547, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.59107580203595 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 20360239.203631815, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.107642952789835, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.35950683514523 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 35894061.10699999, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.29488901386428, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.574972265727304 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 166994626.4819146, "yoy_growth_pct": 365.24305506725636, "cagr_3y_pct": 81.49606134775507 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 93945441.98835494, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.74343416461418, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.48084798362804 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 314103337.89315856, "yoy_growth_pct": 234.3465433182947, "cagr_3y_pct": 106.07089211909954 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 218290685.6488215, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.503544752818733, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.33962231844867 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 183667456.0886505, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.86106592558496, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.040921499535184 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 215417393.13518283, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.286642785103766, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.813371719577304 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 233566091.093, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.424899073227653, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2801907230448837 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 249516439.20149994, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.82905126932527, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.75303880734484 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 125952433.31691194, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.521388763007494, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.38030122768548 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 38308589.98160892, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.58487504150096, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.26117658269584 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 59351486.64903118, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.92996917277424, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.04008510608258 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 51081463.37617024, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.933978304140648, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.97945880725773 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 486408401.96300024, "yoy_growth_pct": 852.2209619975614, "cagr_3y_pct": 133.29296009317372 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 110048871.94206983, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.37521155104534, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.852688355207572 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 160923464.62799993, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.22909057415028, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.59483914134208 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "export_value_usd": 118036024.58304536, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.650830656732182, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.62586986687473 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "hs_code": "680221", "hs_description": "Marble, travertine and alabaster: simply cut or sawn, with a flat or even surface", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14727576.242, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.05765173770479, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.179574860904541, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "hs_code": "847480", "hs_description": "Machines: for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid mineral fuels, ceramic paste, unhardened cements, plastering materials in powder or paste form, machines for forming foundry moulds of sand", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10541915.365534881, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.38931873564118, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8027364126574807, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "hs_code": "843860", "hs_description": "Machinery: industrial, for the preparation of fruits, nuts or vegetables", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10726041.094483444, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.408817740102881, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "hs_code": "300220", "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16246335.623000002, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.0665056730647398, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "hs_code": "841950", "hs_description": "Heat exchange units: not used for domestic purposes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20918090.105624016, "current_below_peak_pct": 82.89598286367757, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.471222619783758, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "hs_code": "841490", "hs_description": "Pumps and compressors: parts, of air or vacuum pumps, air or other gas compressors and fans, ventilating or recycling hoods incorporating a fan", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10630125.36131192, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.465531177888872, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "hs_code": "880330", "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14972583.052567484, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.71175642610524, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8243379029923075, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "hs_code": "848180", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50315462.48661752, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.07400094593538, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1694684816549734, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "hs_code": "841391", "hs_description": "Pumps: parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25057922.57150237, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.718431693455237, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.240570579630811, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "hs_code": "730429", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: casing and tubing, of a kind used in drilling for oil or gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58142687.172, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.28979777010838, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3225706182914825, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "TKM", "distance_km": 3902, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 45231.428571000004, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7393.253337524292, "importer_population": 6117.933, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.722281389961686, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.722281389961686, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-TKM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-TKM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-TKM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-TKM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-TKM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }