{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.031Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Italy exports to Slovenia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to Slovenia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ITA",
    "country_name": "Italy"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SVN",
    "country_name": "Slovenia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "SVN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 773,
    "current_lane_count": 769,
    "current_product_count": 769,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2021,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 4764551514.778124,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1407302248.8938158,
    "critical_trade_usd": 112413169.47517219,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 698334252.5894554,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 773203768.9238974,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1774045947.1457486,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 3,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 149,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 167,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 332,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 304,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7716827042905962,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.14946412836363,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 494.6060823295774,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 21.32441630495884,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 26.358083998753283,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1016012800.0755098,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "870421",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 492.3426513671875,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.31170639395713806,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.7940914190268202,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.423692630268199,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6816641003586207,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.742028529909579,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 61526.331889,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 29201,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2107.007,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.242315191123926,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.8497430628929425,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.3708767889949005,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.509999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.077999999999996,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 29.53693006632023,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.3593651810984158,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 61526.331889,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 29201,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2107.007
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 1817789742.3157299,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 1835034005.9412856,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9486390655713439,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 1839120849.9719331,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.2227121686800171,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 1829687359.1364348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5129347990178168,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.21769576325574302
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 1743954553.791842,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.685653257453581,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6826082131233155
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 1880464383.2925706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.8276024569515545,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7437891454568302
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 1924370467.5662622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.3348532768706187,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6960142165397096
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 2038037303.4209733,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.906702361654137,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.331674530199271
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 2591165165.0018353,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.140222637358114,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.278175082193997
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 3131046384.968466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.835461484997552,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.616144614100172
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 3432612886.686104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.631492627046324,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.979160394226934
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 3990126319.4551964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.241663455016763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.477449374638063
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 5102960217.737119,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.889690931736368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.68223116719254
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 5853268901.212585,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.703400603977013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.46973009649662
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 3933208792.825291,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.80321032217617,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.47776538464877616
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 4666206648.176949,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.636128768163672,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.9384411865042703
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 5465740608.390158,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.134559621905755,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.257484086805883
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 5348738996.6151705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1406360118038648,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.790231088386658
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 4751394382.206125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.167952199332621,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6048776551333956
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 4928870464.101323,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.735242070408673,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.387616682887329
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 3960813960.5801287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.64053449105402,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.52866211858744
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 3912821849.8835335,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2116729332464216,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.267615571999019
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 4623296115.445419,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.15759298070352,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.110802409471757
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 5262980673.8535795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.836114807163536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.938323618630228
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 4965041764.58882,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.661029894046843,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.262389998892704
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 3997779232.751679,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.48145811654105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.730102246073253
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 5232980705.545304,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.897190687126418,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.19036836835929494
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 6757790827.858216,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.138462534308516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.822330732227648
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 5969810192.472997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.66032887755063,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.30026532008528
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "export_value_usd": 5849840876.249443,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.009600177486648,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.784295061129761
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3078842894.650299,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 29.032042904095405,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7601071778245034,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 883533371.2968936,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.483869024346593,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5622234635658121,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "hs_code": "760120",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 212655195.53830743,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9018524500355485,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "hs_code": "271600",
      "hs_description": "Electrical energy",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1018704280.305701,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.552073698841355,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.400029032665572,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "hs_code": "870600",
      "hs_description": "Chassis: fitted with engines, for the motor vehicles of heading no. 8701 to 8705",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 149805413.0866492,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3014520573235542,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7633399995.641352,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 12.090703833738392,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6294799592442145,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "hs_code": "560314",
      "hs_description": "Nonwovens: whether or not impregnated, coated, covered or laminated, of man-made filaments, (weighing more than 150g/m2)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53659836.82969209,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3612775821188676,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "hs_code": "720851",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: (not in coils), flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, without patterns in relief, of a thickness exceeding 10mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 66379411.37339657,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.197014272187225,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.812745121530865,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "hs_code": "854411",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: winding wire, of copper",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86634265.51008375,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.56475088818633,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46914572589359094,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "SVN",
      "hs_code": "870332",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 810115787.4120471,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.84466243926029,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7424450928914325,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "SVN",
    "distance_km": 489,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 61526.331889,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 29200.81987814943,
    "importer_population": 2107.007,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.7940914190268202,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.423692630268199,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6816641003586207,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.742028529909579
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-SVN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-SVN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-SVN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-SVN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-SVN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}