{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.621Z", "seo": { "title": "Italy exports to Paraguay: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to Paraguay, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PRY", "country_name": "Paraguay" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "all_history_lane_count": 133, "current_lane_count": 110, "current_product_count": 110, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 47934559.62771629, "attention_trade_usd": 13203515.226206422, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 23035945.50557888, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 14787806.794769362, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 19103260.574981637, "access_friction_trade_usd": 47934559.62771629, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 7, "high_volatility_lane_count": 70, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 50, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 66, "access_friction_lane_count": 110, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1050200681485256, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.1457311740217, "product_concentration_hhi": 344.0210077034595, "top1_product_share_pct": 11.220203079709028, "top3_product_share_pct": 24.891034381378844, "top_product_hs6": "330300", "top_product_trade_usd": 5378354.935593984, "top_product_description": "Perfumes and toilet waters", "top_attention_product_hs6": "900410", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 10376.2607421875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0279999990016222, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 35, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 38986.810989, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5400, "buyer_population_latest": 7219.641, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2296186225791113, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9651940186437677, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.240055114987726, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.45, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.94, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 27.5448764497922, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 38986.810989, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5400, "buyer_population_2024": 7219.641 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 83709014.90713555, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 99811441.35043064, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.236191539416247, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 130996315.64518072, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.243787157889315, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 86548837.11053072, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.93032721243958, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1182788032257474 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 59661068.88464019, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.06658520616795, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.762868880635772 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 66423473.32312256, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.334702117989304, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.25793093124243 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 52528973.54402807, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.918056650701665, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.333314373021544 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 43715099.75875234, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.77907103569849, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.847007316606216 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 31474037.858882673, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.0019077330799, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.03907910056504 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 34457719.9729001, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.479819930938294, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.111451761378557 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 39855780.59926548, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.665751043919274, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.033895528983266 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 39973408.23717437, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.29513319307830077, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.294459653538366 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 45686130.58148059, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.291306636679323, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.858233949968787 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 59527954.70667906, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.297650400731047, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.307979222924928 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 53792096.02800142, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.635571567914248, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.403395215154498 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 75439315.3635694, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.2423793345021, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.196455732366235 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 102075712.96601257, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.30837663898821, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.692559398382325 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 88406371.763333, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.39137470166969, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.01078522034054 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 95525213.77238776, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.052408290334734, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.186588607608257 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 96928761.38646895, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.4692954442640405, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7098313240574647 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 75575763.11375152, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.029579215997565, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.092691363585756 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 76902857.2518368, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.755978482265319, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.9731848999151635 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 96386584.11876129, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.335504509436312, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.1868008746024663 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 92123556.16849822, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.422843686430921, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.822495096471881 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 76564848.57715571, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.88895678634563, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.1467241107657502 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 80329543.26916827, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.917001420330402, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.893511278957153 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 94604664.5178457, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.77069888327929, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8898056014706501 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 108883779.43357071, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.093457588480197, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.454779857971676 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 126292565.9701429, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.98841133834188, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.278877280736516 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "export_value_usd": 126828769.1383556, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.42457223360199414, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.264338377342996 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "330300", "hs_description": "Perfumes and toilet waters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 149438191.83111095, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.21448389417948, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7813474099000327, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "900410", "hs_description": "Sunglasses: corrective, protective or other", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16642098.78282922, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.26211028075388, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9280414539233388, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "841370", "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16021749.709118094, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.208559396298405, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0115609235383305, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "300215", "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51297637.25783009, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3552347356563121, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "853669", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: plugs and sockets, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12880424.73508358, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.16102559202003, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9460127096988142, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "200290", "hs_description": "Vegetable preparations: tomatoes, (other than whole or in pieces), prepared or preserved otherwise than by vinegar or acetic acid", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12429433.951434052, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6424892834408806, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "854370", "hs_description": "Electrical machines and apparatus: having individual functions, not specified or included elsewhere in this chapter, n.e.c. in heading no. 8543", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130055503.51816073, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.95999146298722, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.147779566394162, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "300212", "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: antisera and other blood fractions", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12224646.480146369, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.952531093011777, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "841869", "hs_description": "Refrigerating or freezing equipment: heat pumps, other than compression type units whose condensers are heat exchangers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14315764.959716082, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.09139871919184, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "hs_code": "293499", "hs_description": "Nucleic acids and their salts, other heterocyclic compounds, n.e.c. in heading number 2934", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12900551.17547199, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.713621077465617, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "PRY", "distance_km": 10352, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 38986.810989, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5400.103826353693, "importer_population": 7219.641, "importer_biz_entry_days": 35, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 52.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-PRY/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-PRY/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-PRY/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-PRY/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-PRY/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }