{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.853Z", "seo": { "title": "Italy exports to New Zealand: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to New Zealand, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NZL", "country_name": "New Zealand" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "all_history_lane_count": 534, "current_lane_count": 508, "current_product_count": 508, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 592776023.5103239, "attention_trade_usd": 289271343.73821354, "critical_trade_usd": 12073817.132277235, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 179484506.34102598, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 120989470.53034985, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 286307.9195230419, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 217788415.6927669, "access_friction_trade_usd": 592776023.5103239, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 83, "high_volatility_lane_count": 168, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 218, "declining_demand_lane_count": 2, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 259, "access_friction_lane_count": 508, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8590057485749317, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.781531586685126, "product_concentration_hhi": 97.12130817717541, "top1_product_share_pct": 3.709261529851781, "top3_product_share_pct": 9.85833019630125, "top_product_hs6": "300490", "top_product_trade_usd": 21987612.99825359, "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "top_attention_product_hs6": "850440", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 18572.1484375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.2844862937927246, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.28611231711111, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.28611231711111, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 0.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 249991.512237, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 48802, "buyer_population_latest": 5122.6, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.081545685717014, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.801671873563638, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2449931881725718, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.52, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.785999999999998, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 48.799433894980325, "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.036826162566097, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 249991.512237, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 48802, "buyer_population_2024": 5122.6 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 290656979.46210265, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 322029112.08403105, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.793524614473892, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 270142896.0471884, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.112274974476016, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 226155399.52933565, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.28304766162314, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.023812921305407 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 250587112.13572082, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.803064024662401, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.02117325622027 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 241225035.026273, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.736056906381202, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7036981365066057 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 262363107.24243093, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.76280200927555, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.0748071371833126 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 328122159.0542027, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.064138210182318, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.402087739462782 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 386045749.69000185, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.653056655107147, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.969365042667107 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 473187453.9748584, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.57289566193439, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.724169049939547 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 524476383.4866578, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.839029877263929, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.92214987271614 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 456895823.2519304, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.88533904719593, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.77737961965008 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 590199950.300896, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.176044136315582, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.643707906378627 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 588282124.4623542, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.32494510336100735, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9010424644336794 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 367838186.0375179, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.47248628815733, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.972101982869672 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 413155370.31965214, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.319869443220899, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.2084962378444 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 572248698.1410716, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.50690061182824, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9168692996031069 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 529418103.18352467, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.484612039604544, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.905212327768156 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 590506343.5834382, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.538751703535354, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.642873765038098 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 637760284.4135631, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.00227488554457, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.679020549567902 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 556728407.7623031, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.705695012942186, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6907689970909967 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 601032085.6288786, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.957861903373731, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.590669005973532 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 682105897.98366, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.489098883955819, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.266041271547614 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 742611521.3899328, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.870414928991298, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.079411779018542 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 735221040.0442526, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9952015465431341, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.948186141758428 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 685416505.961136, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.774089881883539, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.16152263939113176 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 904892835.349483, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.02087015406536, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.8099771716036095 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 883904032.0036372, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.319479448385686, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.331611545531324 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 891458404.7400824, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.8546598344303158, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.156308914024658 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "export_value_usd": 787631501.6775519, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.646858957239036, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.52082832172872 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 675501526.1325744, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6185928848282928, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "870324", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 164179211.34246436, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.802950142783594, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7017545896522693, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "850440", "hs_description": "Electrical static converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 150401255.57884508, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7358175401212472, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "200210", "hs_description": "Vegetable preparations: tomatoes, whole or in pieces, prepared or preserved otherwise than by vinegar or acetic acid", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16321144.52115233, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.645194922886189, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6050160410989759, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "300220", "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 87095452.12569784, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.43463298166386, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9934583869111961, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "870332", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 249496756.49823254, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.61398398316977, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1868881827810007, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "190219", "hs_description": "Food preparations: pasta, uncooked (excluding that containing eggs), not stuffed or otherwise prepared", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22812638.485874884, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0890376946115092, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "848180", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 124754906.17123875, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.809597666603878, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2571488925086993, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "870590", "hs_description": "Vehicles: break-down lorries, road-sweepers, spraying lorries, mobile workshops, mobile radiological units, and other special purpose vehicles n.e.s. in heading no. 8705", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27436820.003240537, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0736079192978019, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "hs_code": "690721", "hs_description": "Ceramic tiles: flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles other than those of subheadings 6907.30 and 6907.40, of a water absorption coefficient by weight not over 0.5%", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26839593.394740026, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.73957468485947, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.24151266056047493, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "distance_km": 18400, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 249991.512237, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 48801.685128059966, "importer_population": 5122.6, "importer_biz_entry_days": 0.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.28611231711111, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.28611231711111, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-NZL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-NZL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-NZL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-NZL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-NZL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }