{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.497Z", "seo": { "title": "Italy exports to Niger: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to Niger, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NER", "country_name": "Niger" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "all_history_lane_count": 5, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 2008, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 283839.96666572796, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 72743.45981539007, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 283839.96666572796, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 48100.415370900315, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1791314354486815, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 77.09120181996788, "product_concentration_hhi": 4951.291219844274, "top1_product_share_pct": 67.53988612135868, "top3_product_share_pct": 93.16822192970466, "top_product_hs6": "300490", "top_product_trade_usd": 191705.19025293508, "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 3311.9873046875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.01832691952586174, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.078116144444444, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.078116144444444, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 14950.949875, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 595, "buyer_population_latest": 25130.81, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.048267597024285, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.533382810692422, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3305904659920893, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.498, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 18.082, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 14950.949875, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 595, "buyer_population_2024": 25130.81 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 5714655.289336797, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 5558428.317001478, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7337952059300785, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 8067813.334109522, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.145585658316904, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 13159144.049221737, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.10669947688081, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.052268861350974 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 8688596.13872909, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.972938465986665, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.05553747616333 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 6570761.202804739, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.374880614880713, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.612959123221252 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 8672831.368426949, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.99127316824326, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.974922165530156 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 10999487.21799468, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.82694671128758, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.178496907992905 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 13511917.639244517, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.84134134125462, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.164855390547913 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 49189699.89321982, "yoy_growth_pct": 264.0467712025673, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.335480768807 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 48483576.99211285, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.435509675073865, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.96106780772621 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 23473096.524222728, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.58546877009249, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.212915948662147 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 21920464.337410316, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.614517966175426, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.617853491052752 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 24437620.245877095, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.483132244470307, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.41679606144502 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 22690984.294827104, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.147324221738282, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.123219538850373 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 32321149.418626834, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.44049089573929, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.818366695611651 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 32216143.72240313, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.32488230806292373, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.649051891354187 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 26461848.197576646, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.861527979293633, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.258120957533796 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 29576175.42631202, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.769122116801277, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.915088544718314 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 41449573.56065089, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.1451437286779, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.76324861569444 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 19849337.15058601, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.11208356211057, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.13946738789404 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 15798108.107043486, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.40989587112192, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.8626120048884 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 18468418.35388915, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.902721697765323, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.621719131985188 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 21586733.968221106, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.884584021106996, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.836426543035242 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 27521279.183682036, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.491630851602956, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.324623525477527 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 13140766.627977246, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.25234066965647, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.72490255167633 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 22328562.766374614, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.91826579460107, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1326242489379634 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 21044145.137157895, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.752352458399024, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.556208628744965 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 17082228.51093752, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.826693127224125, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.137652532664188 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "export_value_usd": 8362548.609340055, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.04532992293349, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.918143775596192 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40874419.1524284, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.87713261805807, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8726474039260191, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22886380.35725986, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.46421328681262, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4896617806880361, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "hs_code": "870120", "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14048311.613327306, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.60682269683983, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.894747486388827, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "hs_code": "300460", "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antimalarial active principles described in Subheading Note 2 to this Chapter, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15557069.122412039, "current_below_peak_pct": 75.36190176910463, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9639208587417818, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "NER", "distance_km": 3301, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 14950.949874999998, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 594.9251088603988, "importer_population": 25130.81, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.9, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.078116144444444, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.078116144444444, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-NER/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-NER/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-NER/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-NER/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-NER/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }