{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.883Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Italy exports to Marshall Isds: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to Marshall Isds, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ITA",
    "country_name": "Italy"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MHL",
    "country_name": "Marshall Isds"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "MHL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 9,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2018,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 233565346.81299984,
    "attention_trade_usd": 232828097.43399984,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 201542568.89,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6510518.4669999955,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 233565346.81299984,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 233565346.81299984,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 4,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1204717418862011,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 17.91153836597303,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 7566.277139433912,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 86.2895851803571,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.6843498451034,
    "top_product_hs6": "890392",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 201542568.89,
    "top_product_description": "Motorboats: (other than outboard motorboats), for pleasure or sports, other than inflatable",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "890392",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 14161.7412109375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.284199982881546,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 248.6656,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4171,
    "buyer_population_latest": 59.618,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.490832668578526,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.861183395493954,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -3.124711430763172,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.6843498451034,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 248.6656,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4171,
    "buyer_population_2024": 59.618
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 90558,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 147677,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.07449369464872,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 51803,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.92141633429715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 240674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 364.594714591819,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.51626881231584
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 168863,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.837456476395452,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.570025307958181
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 483926.262,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 186.5792162877599,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 110.60794960425736
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 10457048.747,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2060.8764739864437,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 251.55503219348466
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 3167959.0929999975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -69.70503657727667,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 165.71435745856112
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 38902175.87099999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1127.9885796808178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 331.583567426448
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 74558492.89899999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 91.6563565653415,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.46983000570195
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 62121769.87,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.680491444277568,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 169.663035225692
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 27170419.045999996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.262644958669796,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.27606100410381
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 169541500.355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 523.992953763294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.50016581752295
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 253420344.90199995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.47393079061322,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.783728996678875
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 123738027.94399998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.172812115045204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 65.75588297054222
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 52820727.99999998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.31245367519109,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.20836315988712
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 51345722.99999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7924738182328435,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.26626780980459
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 498368,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.02938751101041,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -84.08955526152427
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 95387892,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19040.051528188003,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.776350963708225
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 56179659,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.10399357604003,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0445297727120124
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 32020975.1246,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.00254630488234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 300.52362194386194
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 430391553.36199987,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1244.0925883339296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 65.24316172055731
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 35051502.57599999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.8559036992721,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.550567971161188
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 39031762.61900001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.35546196449031,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.822122652245888
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 66826548.06200001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 71.21068478078405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.252067524901264
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 69608770.872,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.163349582891374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.695320141612378
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 252739088.48800004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 263.08511890369243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 86.388058121047
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 222982874.701,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.773490980368418,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.4310428499666
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 265527819.45599997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.079915806112435,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.248319332449384
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 238277093.9989998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.262851370086224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9449512369689614
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "hs_code": "890392",
      "hs_description": "Motorboats: (other than outboard motorboats), for pleasure or sports, other than inflatable",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 985404135.6835953,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.623243170368525,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1656176975203674,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "hs_code": "890120",
      "hs_description": "Tankers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1697673256.9736643,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8197867565167207,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "hs_code": "890190",
      "hs_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6109203439.196996,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.54095095525877,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9860774531789613,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "hs_code": "730890",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 114411888.25499998,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.102546302273147,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.07010553671568075,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "MHL",
    "distance_km": 14174,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 248.6656,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4170.98191821262,
    "importer_population": 59.618,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 12.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-MHL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-MHL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-MHL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-MHL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-MHL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}