{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.878Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Italy exports to Luxembourg: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to Luxembourg, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ITA",
    "country_name": "Italy"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LUX",
    "country_name": "Luxembourg"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "LUX",
    "all_history_lane_count": 345,
    "current_lane_count": 327,
    "current_product_count": 327,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2009,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 620397116.1377392,
    "attention_trade_usd": 266008485.24594033,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 187805711.3305372,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 85981096.01497875,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 228884.11968067213,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 364294364.09888816,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 43,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 136,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 167,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 2,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 186,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9871245089010522,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.675957148848223,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 240.18820988103693,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 9.158836191019242,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 19.67920399139386,
    "top_product_hs6": "040610",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 56821155.60086293,
    "top_product_description": "Dairy produce: fresh cheese (including whey cheese), not fermented, and curd",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "040610",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 989.5762939453125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 86710.80333699999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 135683,
    "buyer_population_latest": 639.07,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.9490070751361035,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.101286267407822,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7749260109831688,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.124,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 54.153999999999996,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 42.87713116752814,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 86710.80333699999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 135683,
    "buyer_population_2024": 639.07
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 266895397.72301465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 262782661.47695553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5409543518346225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 336865179.00781655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.19155461569811,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 313163797.71085495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.035865614478265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.473531803509801
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 396619038.0065062,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.649070200862024,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.707623797081549
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 638362950.4519122,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.95116201694795,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.74771374185871
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 633062037.7946982,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8303916531279376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.442063105864854
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 670250029.9594314,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.874304561726573,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.11170146376573
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 667554019.4463663,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.40223952145563846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5016060161837874
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 652898356.1724342,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1954273132961943,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0337411349167436
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 595452792.8664082,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.798546169237753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8675158897192197
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 649886333.8880738,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.141537612013174,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8901094717074343
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 693951586.6826363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.78045536531493,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.053491121840767
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 621736015.7796377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.40642780978679,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.450197398933839
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 645521181.4549607,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8256052523348183,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.22439628361173858
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 643318025.7241935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.34129875115817,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.493811009301594
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 577661743.9845946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.205882489564711,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4211129447553215
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 532788271.8313104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.768122542399292,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.197433821803222
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 613883655.6693593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.220940123044802,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5490034090981375
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 737343406.8101369,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.111262126071907,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.475600934548222
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 746309322.0944793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2159755144662387,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.889174590194052
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 710167587.5379188,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.842728542520492,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.976379902294825
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 821151187.3239992,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.627804159698355,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.653612200136336
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 847098013.9401244,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.159811130600909,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.31295916556429
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 872550570.888299,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.004676735078937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.105043027013003
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 870351031.7157342,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.2520815693611289,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9585790861992303
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "040610",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: fresh cheese (including whey cheese), not fermented, and curd",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78865750.38714367,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8627237382610522,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "870324",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 216431630.68446517,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.844531974635361,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "480640",
      "hs_description": "Paper: glassine and other glazed transparent or translucent papers, in rolls or sheets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 115857585.95480293,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 40.802599329077054,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6110633243624356,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "392020",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: of polymers of propylene, plates, sheets, film, foil and strip (not self-adhesive), non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83377076.48156814,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.862777363184368,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "390769",
      "hs_description": "Poly(ethylene terephthalate): in primary forms, having a viscosity of less than 78ml/g",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29350748.881602995,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.547779517980516,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1136246695820136,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "293339",
      "hs_description": "Heterocyclic compounds: containing an unfused pyridine ring (whether or not hydrogenated) in the structure, other than pyridine and its salts, other than piperidine and its salts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20004657.978235327,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8279278605942075,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "860900",
      "hs_description": "Containers: (including containers for transport of fluids) specially designed and equipped for carriage by one or more modes of transport",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23073536.31105218,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.002899750935227,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "090121",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: roasted, not decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 115817733.10303174,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 7.077981505974193,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4328199336094399,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "690721",
      "hs_description": "Ceramic tiles: flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles other than those of subheadings 6907.30 and 6907.40, of a water absorption coefficient by weight not over 0.5%",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30164111.408507038,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.229741800733517,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3085692831048141,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "220421",
      "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 197767879.39694625,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.177696799775765,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3370454141285671,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "LUX",
    "distance_km": 989,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263,
    "importer_population": 639.07,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-LUX/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-LUX/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-LUX/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-LUX/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-LUX/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}