{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.078Z", "seo": { "title": "Italy exports to Liberia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to Liberia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LBR", "country_name": "Liberia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "all_history_lane_count": 18, "current_lane_count": 10, "current_product_count": 10, "first_observed_last_year": 2004, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 29655221.584397588, "attention_trade_usd": 28600590.00650692, "critical_trade_usd": 27255241.157022554, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 28674893.741774604, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 27590475.446479354, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 29150875.84831748, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.699824058267709, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 82.90506496040459, "product_concentration_hhi": 8471.093079705654, "top1_product_share_pct": 91.90705616363451, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.01453717039772, "top_product_hs6": "890120", "top_product_trade_usd": 27255241.157022554, "top_product_description": "Tankers", "top_attention_product_hs6": "890120", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 4575.6708984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.24069999158382416, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.00451919636364, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.00451919636364, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 18, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3486.74137, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 673, "buyer_population_latest": 5180.208, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.56124370446094, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.285811701082199, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.161195289863871, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 20.546, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -56.306, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.44369011073066, "critical_trade_share_pct": 91.90705616363451, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3486.74137, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 673, "buyer_population_2024": 5180.208 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 490339313.00000006, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 25789338.99999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.74051165870928, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 349845769.999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 1256.5519069720985, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 1186437444.3986497, "yoy_growth_pct": 239.13156771872735, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.250540693843234 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 33411263, "yoy_growth_pct": -97.18390015775887, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.014489988169672 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 44137897.22600001, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.1048450817319, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.84529611945062 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 58160517.6255, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.77002367761139, "cagr_3y_pct": -63.40168089854128 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 68596434.45566668, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.943301153824564, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.097268319347066 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 33421186.479000002, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.278536932411775, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.854183134862726 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 41975486.46599999, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.595440761431476, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.300678432103238 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 62979891.462, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.039694031928626, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8073429121576177 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 71416281.34899995, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.395370635229176, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.802746294312165 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 108618807.19699997, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.092499280657336, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.28921772530687 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 291422868.608, "yoy_growth_pct": 168.2987192811385, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.63794722429539 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 227571432.9929999, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.910235088958718, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.15448523769583 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 79184933.6716323, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.20436127232716, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.9993092424575 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 49848436.96330783, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.048078905992895, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.489393533532414 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 35593793.99999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.59596776083534, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.121084416178014 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 16380726.000000004, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.97870201754832, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.85788343668197 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 26998514.349191368, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.81878977275709, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.48651888044499 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 18656875.75719803, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.896657809036743, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.371568332061774 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 15809630.409054631, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.261104727274066, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1759024479670366 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 37532707.44250246, "yoy_growth_pct": 137.4040788518775, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.60663366526109 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 16623695.509725837, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.708776045021004, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.773161222657584 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 10234756.895042913, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.43272159878662, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.492863203196126 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 8132907.70861473, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.536386042019128, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.93631359719644 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 34359206.394330375, "yoy_growth_pct": 322.47136725694804, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.381155142785786 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 14762764.278099893, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.03403591843175, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.987409437812492 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 31085945.9767707, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.5699541845679, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.35295056573541 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "export_value_usd": 38954689.43886388, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.312864752364895, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.273081326407535 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "890120", "hs_description": "Tankers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2308947673.213461, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.43846675914146, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.745780857513659, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "843149", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13198556.833178734, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5136033145708223, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "020649", "hs_description": "Offal, edible: of swine, (other than livers), frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10539761.135104101, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.38095057518068, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.918378786145845, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "843041", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14714459.23998605, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "020714", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35172941.39809093, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.26585719968887, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9748209173245165, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "320890", "hs_description": "Paints and varnishes: based on polymers n.e.s. in heading no. 3208, dispersed or dissolved in a non-aqueous medium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40302019.2003347, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.19184110972459, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8724888253946841, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "842121", "hs_description": "Machinery: for filtering or purifying water", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19714080.257417995, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.86524183212913, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3102835445435506, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "848180", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16488971.243608758, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.96030504435382, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.331962747180353, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "841391", "hs_description": "Pumps: parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15077597.342617337, "current_below_peak_pct": 75.707634495066, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8575807980230373, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12845988.284454158, "current_below_peak_pct": 95.3062382326372, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.047421746073728, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "LBR", "distance_km": 4566, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3486.74137, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 673.0890670799321, "importer_population": 5180.208, "importer_biz_entry_days": 18, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.00451919636364, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.00451919636364, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-LBR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-LBR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-LBR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-LBR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-LBR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }