{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.587Z", "seo": { "title": "Italy exports to Guyana: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to Guyana, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GUY", "country_name": "Guyana" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "all_history_lane_count": 40, "current_lane_count": 32, "current_product_count": 32, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 59024527.42565857, "attention_trade_usd": 31863919.34504372, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 44097111.61969723, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3250586.0526924254, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 37555033.15676612, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 26, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 26, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.7461258230760324, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 3.8029561182795026, "product_concentration_hhi": 1917.6362915746604, "top1_product_share_pct": 33.063650580522754, "top3_product_share_pct": 70.51818283946041, "top_product_hs6": "730890", "top_product_trade_usd": 19515663.504824575, "top_product_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "top_attention_product_hs6": "880212", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 7916.6953125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.2639000117778778, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 18, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 7409.179921, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9375, "buyer_population_latest": 790.329, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 36.661725442922986, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 35.882601991445725, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5733798441144744, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.152, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.3, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 53.984200695509756, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 7409.179921, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9375, "buyer_population_2024": 790.329 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 3795891.6281428444, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 3742830.923990718, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3978456012477491, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 7374715.957672344, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.03577605929368, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 6996536.065995279, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.128060441210924, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.60920903380834 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 2789043.3423750545, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.13679746567126, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.339449578026727 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 3338960.0738941994, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.717037851798125, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.212833394990163 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 3446881.3976960485, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.232183716290482, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.020492542232063 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 31352420.540377926, "yoy_growth_pct": 809.5880282197813, "cagr_3y_pct": 124.01233734289553 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 48591627.97113008, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.98525196340183, "cagr_3y_pct": 144.14625925627465 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 2681733.3249993976, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.48107948432452, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.026421800827011 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 2975615.128775083, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.958651296013988, "cagr_3y_pct": -54.38560762039104 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 7416447.131511701, "yoy_growth_pct": 149.2408060367906, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.55855999632126 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 6492141.820685108, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.462912422031803, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.27365264378446 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 10657770.121834943, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.16416055295355, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.00179649713501 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 9127084.293050693, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.362158418563375, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.163128893966664 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 17536033.464427102, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.13182327875433, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.26686167842921 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 8667975.136550557, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.570491587313256, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.656566997097347 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 5111649.161183134, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.028336137829214, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.57170331028911 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 6040904.574466707, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.179170439555147, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.89910922267317 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 7637682.943416364, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.4327692858916, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.130310012140715 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 5862495.478964815, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.242486989876287, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.674403373860758 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 5286648.969065247, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.822549321628637, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.34826918072363 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 5189303.506478549, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.841345305056452, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.087799940095433 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 8035520.471129055, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.847764465831816, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.082035768671883 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 9018283.017975867, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.230228899021478, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.48529551715177 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 20797817.894039586, "yoy_growth_pct": 130.6183766087617, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.843543357709805 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 43848414.94275428, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.83180536608475, "cagr_3y_pct": 76.05429681549198 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 31659563.44831421, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.797701491269567, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.98253609473766 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 30606439.989555962, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.326399179437589, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.744834206473122 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "export_value_usd": 85313866.99825731, "yoy_growth_pct": 178.7448230743906, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.84042626786378 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 91414841.66076778, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4800301000817093, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "hs_code": "880212", "hs_description": "Helicopters: of an unladen weight exceeding 2000kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53531602.10895615, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7308634595185604, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 167775046.5171183, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3994839613925537, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "hs_code": "843143", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 157771457.1570465, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.420191807982817, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "hs_code": "841199", "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of gas turbines (excluding turbo-jets and turbo-propellers)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14905746.000119697, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9167575600751371, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "hs_code": "848180", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 179351483.43675405, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.89982374126741, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.107945269668201, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "hs_code": "271320", "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12388729.432379134, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.574946540077389, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 543297852.0084251, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.94425469186317, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9670741356895132, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "hs_code": "730419", "hs_description": "Iron or steel (excluding cast iron or stainless steel): seamless, line pipe of a kind used for oil or gas pipelines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 153586815.67539072, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.522525226504127, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "hs_code": "732690", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86463973.95728433, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.26768642905361, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5026596910577856, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GUY", "distance_km": 7907, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 7409.179921, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9374.804569995533, "importer_population": 790.329, "importer_biz_entry_days": 18, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 9.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GUY/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GUY/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GUY/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GUY/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GUY/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }