{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.037Z", "seo": { "title": "Italy exports to Greece: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to Greece, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GRC", "country_name": "Greece" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "all_history_lane_count": 1041, "current_lane_count": 1028, "current_product_count": 1028, "first_observed_last_year": 2009, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 6392128144.2562895, "attention_trade_usd": 1745329218.9413033, "critical_trade_usd": 84753518.84669194, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1410273850.1598392, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1688329812.8476593, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 36467.22084418235, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1961710158.4015398, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 4, "high_attention_lane_count": 234, "high_volatility_lane_count": 203, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 532, "declining_demand_lane_count": 2, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 428, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8449905399336934, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.687675232077062, "product_concentration_hhi": 79.15023781078544, "top1_product_share_pct": 4.775439287345963, "top3_product_share_pct": 10.707686174784019, "top_product_hs6": "851712", "top_product_trade_usd": 305252198.69831324, "top_product_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "top_attention_product_hs6": "880330", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1050.4105224609375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.18611358106136322, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 216240.589485, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 20277, "buyer_population_latest": 10664.568, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.329374957214838, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.9563802531924495, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5973960748884899, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 20.778, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 14.094, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 27.304352784441377, "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.3259045647082037, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 216240.589485, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 20277, "buyer_population_2024": 10664.568 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 4468142518.652398, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 4754273312.792911, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.403797393347466, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 4477561082.149944, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.820284456477975, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 4669536378.037871, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.287496973592342, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.480418285680063 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 4727935138.169041, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2506329409025518, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.18500522260268548 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 4331081997.680923, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.393794095952934, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.102579938112036 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 4129700901.4922285, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.649671751689866, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.012441534079736 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 4476421621.137166, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.395782840342104, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8056518197678062 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 6003284723.387206, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.10901008610006, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.497255788407458 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 7309518373.985365, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.75864898610287, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.96416202077609 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 6955471513.483238, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.843641432822476, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.823992328770963 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 7967835998.78618, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.554936834123522, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.896488311384232 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 9621489458.007841, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.75411014325068, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.593428973747242 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 11128882664.106602, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.666942344817269, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.961158793530217 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 8305878560.371949, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.366464800995146, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3946553906142078 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 6760410692.522259, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.6069162535466, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.09826080448235 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 6185552971.091191, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.503295843652248, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.780343955366384 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 5067704590.97979, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.071923162501058, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.184497797074947 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 4683329832.138558, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.5847901538182665, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.516854107682795 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 4740138484.641837, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2129970456797423, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.489520041139652 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 3821410925.6876764, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.381871688577455, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.979863311813629 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 4047329322.2695847, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.9119105737432065, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.74862224896524 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 4325973969.679645, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.884654675291091, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.0016625225034677 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 5042827392.645324, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.57091392574341, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.685727671841637 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 5017391802.809606, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5043914426421714, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.424454621551946 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 4729838441.834625, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.731132275019024, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0198235296141407 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 6320849796.262652, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.63775262080411, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.820280082803732 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 6463126970.763023, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.2509184537891747, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.806512567177327 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 6901258915.213514, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.77894688488172, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.42113915036518 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 7487359619.076534, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.49266360041916, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.80781374899586 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 981797578.1523654, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3379794362036406, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2054373235.2018907, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.090923193904716, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4933343691208022, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3516534808.9230022, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.69226536866438, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8436705161086975, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "880330", "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 239882079.33363327, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.9432100226232163, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "271600", "hs_description": "Electrical energy", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 586953918.2847958, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.574138420600416, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3336968644303153, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "090121", "hs_description": "Coffee: roasted, not decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 233504759.0269523, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7274212406563233, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "300220", "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 218130604.7223609, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5831307319408574, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "848180", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 226573703.09067425, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.457506333026174, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3209448294818084, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "690721", "hs_description": "Ceramic tiles: flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles other than those of subheadings 6907.30 and 6907.40, of a water absorption coefficient by weight not over 0.5%", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 191447444.69330642, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.18140322414229, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5148003206822819, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "847130", "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 665215724.2859734, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.55469140253253, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4590675239570647, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ITA", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "distance_km": 1057, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 216240.589485, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 20276.544674383436, "importer_population": 10664.568, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GRC/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GRC/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GRC/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GRC/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GRC/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }