{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.964Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Italy exports to Gambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to Gambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ITA",
    "country_name": "Italy"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GMB",
    "country_name": "Gambia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "GMB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 6,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 181041.45469653854,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 181041.45469653854,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 181041.45469653854,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.39398787544837,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 72.12258315859314,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5343.3259405995495,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 63.10202161117798,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "870323",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 114240.81786780075,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 4231.45654296875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.005799999926239252,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.13368353939394,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.13368353939394,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2078.070684,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 836,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2486.937,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.805984484850701,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.372331111411797,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.3542599332658787,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 13.280000000000001,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -0.5940000000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2078.070684,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 836,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2486.937
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 7966634.289635612,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 13498933.199234445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.44336476943862,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 9248448.599117622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.48755933067272,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 10229609.543519897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.608924663276898,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.691285538092796
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 5653107.350039821,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.73779936575518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.183751415716348
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 6253319.244078143,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.617380086265182,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.229769704768923
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 7672630.559268073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.696927180457173,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.14229904953926
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 9494750.297538904,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.748305410975657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.86813213736196
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 11163076.993696762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.571043406905584,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.308464751561228
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 7395106.87804882,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.753866588715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2205229550579233
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 6512051.631125009,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.941074841595844,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.81160692657669
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 7284869.024312407,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.867494868954044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.261359836061926
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 4139570.1026445823,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.17577860591252,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.58550618819935
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 7652939.480284695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.87280781633777,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.528593029166018
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 6229313.475844113,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.60234238240208,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.083988681533902
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 4995258.118525678,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.810455230802337,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.463538731432528
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 11273538.390942136,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 125.6848019351091,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.782985035696193
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 5533873.950674333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.912714723883035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.86909620236755
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 9225739.028911343,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.71393514098992,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.691481435975348
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 5963360.215682197,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.36170710016402,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.125750192207846
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 5621978.37929217,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.724655631103348,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5279059687006482
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 4449578.511516605,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.853866533780142,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.577761226096325
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 4684996.663597883,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.2907966782012705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.727402256748173
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 5529811.229889238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.032340830795235,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5494830367532622
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 5089910.344298829,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.955079609457483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.583639894449454
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 4140715.190266156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.648563330705027,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.032976600286398
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 12286159.968127979,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 196.7158909410104,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.48741263730248
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 5114692.796598886,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.37028974173284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.162035200839461
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 4560985.865693984,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.825810130240876,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2748221159255353
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "export_value_usd": 4014729.8117431584,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.976710080589314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.122075437578545
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24767085.504648764,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 75.12474560543882,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1253652462765589,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "GMB",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10794281.086544033,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.98835825323862,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8533797362335167,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "GMB",
    "distance_km": 4226,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2078.0706840000003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 835.594421571596,
    "importer_population": 2486.937,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 49.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.13368353939394,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.13368353939394,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GMB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GMB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GMB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GMB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-GMB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}