{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.010Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Italy exports to Canada: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Italy to Canada, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ITA",
    "country_name": "Italy"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CAN",
    "country_name": "Canada"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "CAN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1812,
    "current_lane_count": 1754,
    "current_product_count": 1754,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 8151845242.214388,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3696654094.807094,
    "critical_trade_usd": 244225962.88405922,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2082432824.6968641,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 982550797.6509963,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 23773172.71734403,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4735524889.576543,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 15,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 477,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 685,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 740,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 15,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1287,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8955323662739779,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.139716777104454,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 69.67000828976273,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 4.7084325592712,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 9.337651065920856,
    "top_product_hs6": "220421",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 383824135.5658225,
    "top_product_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "870324",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 7089.19775390625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.29954639077186584,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.329710050202021,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545455,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.36789252848484844,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.145157520060607,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1990761.6096649999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 52051,
    "buyer_population_latest": 38246.109,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.170733773212577,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2307679188356975,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.8792515966772338,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.134000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.016,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 45.34745183414358,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.995959265999474,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1990761.6096649999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 52051,
    "buyer_population_2024": 38246.109
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2305259906.6865354,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1940184052.6625347,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.836646139772693,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2076798080.4121385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.041292168241808,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2191727425.3184123,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.533968178719917,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6693564180545128
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2249535547.9126377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.6375598501180875,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.05497972501201
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2343890809.5429773,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.194433011645127,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.11525508307391
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2471096988.005676,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.427137558831152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.080111730137159
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2612624408.645667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.727311446169203,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.114196088674716
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 3055554010.727591,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.953435810221574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.240630033816789
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 3304705592.306813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.154055883302602,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.17447626190795
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 3464940302.127717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.848683350006211,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.868431756288665
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 3907777863.50073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.780524994935117,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.545869328524681
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 4300482064.840557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.049296942074083,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.176237124084263
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 4413573048.364615,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.629728058829861,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.400558757830634
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 3474235134.8307667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.28293569043581,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.843987216645184
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 3959494989.0937753,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.96738664571262,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7161194908605357
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 4603061986.966462,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.253764675681094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.411101860166064
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 4652586702.506831,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0759080733780735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.224572311983149
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 5025872547.971968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.023189449946377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.273927642257384
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 5185441652.716224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.174953268734293,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.051012239154317
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 5345112002.355305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0792044406756203,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.733940799707859
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 5309306618.657046,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6698715327663973,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8455627000752317
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 5839115389.978061,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.97886935855714,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.036827878947236
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 6490861645.433643,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.161729336162885,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.687903437155351
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 6673543126.401425,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.81444114736753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.921064746719186
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 6355873971.554841,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.760127399039993,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8669997270997394
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 7731292703.250571,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.640119641316,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.002617145388212
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 8770623031.002447,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.44316361628497,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.53628091264569
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 9003303520.615923,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.6529528038201633,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.307528857475836
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 8410631535.721452,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.5828279979383115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8471268793195392
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "220421",
      "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1698283515.2293532,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.622338059181648,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4956156827606301,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7905119753.1495495,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 29.45993927893442,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6507537690056453,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "711319",
      "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1243418816.651173,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.3675670260427948,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6825601689191357,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "870324",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6612447513.946229,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.03686515725553,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8481317769545723,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "150910",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: olive oil and its fractions, virgin, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 329763809.0643048,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.49259841812980465,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "040690",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: cheese (not grated, powdered or processed), n.e.c. in heading no. 0406",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 387561540.6721291,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5743799607359783,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "690721",
      "hs_description": "Ceramic tiles: flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles other than those of subheadings 6907.30 and 6907.40, of a water absorption coefficient by weight not over 0.5%",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 218688662.3606546,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.53039833971824,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2702612682056555,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "300215",
      "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4296383902.180103,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7442326987617789,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "848180",
      "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2410281514.814348,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.12833042518315,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.38573983621627866,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "420221",
      "hs_description": "Cases and containers: handbags (whether or not with shoulder strap and including those without handle), with outer surface of leather, of composition leather or of patent leather",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 283192652.93975854,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.377492825732286,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9587293707743616,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ITA",
    "importer_iso3": "CAN",
    "distance_km": 7099,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452,
    "importer_population": 38246.109,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.329710050202021,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545455,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.36789252848484844,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.145157520060607
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-CAN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-CAN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-CAN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-CAN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ITA-CAN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}