{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.496Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Israel exports to Papua New Guinea: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Israel to Papua New Guinea, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ISR",
    "country_name": "Israel"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PNG",
    "country_name": "Papua New Guinea"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
    "importer_iso3": "PNG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 6,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2011,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 285822.48736577353,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 21799.149280854475,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 285822.48736577353,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 285822.48736577353,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 285822.48736577353,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 3,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9178404784918331,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 60.58151216633049,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5093.783845549824,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 65.79797751515842,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "940690",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 188065.4159701982,
    "top_product_description": "Buildings: prefabricated, not of wood",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 12679.0244140625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.25,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 41,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 26594.277245999998,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2916,
    "buyer_population_latest": 9119.005,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.140334920164524,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.142267314450886,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9371957372452453,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.46,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 48.532,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 26594.277245999998,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2916,
    "buyer_population_2024": 9119.005
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 265702.0888293917,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 302964.45584689704,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.02411519671254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1376448.2527361943,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 354.32664663203326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 4484206.41784597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 225.7809662609524,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 156.50561460968885
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 680864.3200590513,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.81639209672889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.98542256947141
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 67204.03601613562,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -90.12959938768607,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -63.4507483614694
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 35973.01386654681,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.47194424764947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -79.98155174747069
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 56052.3060623644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.81765339514788,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -56.4978251582992
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 610179.1408264425,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 988.5888265641571,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 108.61906776768811
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 389406.427332808,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.181622530493954,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 121.21204135115526
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 546753.7971926463,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.40697811219245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 113.66469853100196
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1089593.1669299065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.28406030731105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.32091338799187
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1351360.179361127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.02428909946166,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.39888170772882
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 671434.2247837689,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.3141919498325,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.087115914725772
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 2049962.9684028982,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 205.31106290613585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.450792311378965
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 308784.68130178744,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.93706051956842,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.86430178457607
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 2224830.1747018825,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 620.511835406585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.0840322383683
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 2818189.291865597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.669861093699975,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.192300309946734
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 3015436.4375334145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.999073704422565,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 113.74607265506071
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 3151999.999999996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.52881582137703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.312936132747776
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 3118307.9708594666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0689095539508031,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4307359360861156
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1560781.8709703437,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.94779587020195,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.709527965310237
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 4695999.279429983,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 200.87479658579474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.212578809577936
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1172070.0843163603,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.04109318222405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.831968595105415
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1761590.816062306,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.297396003396734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.116831194473902
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 921071.3033945878,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.71366341171874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.89835746803805
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1969087.6622992945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 113.78232662794572,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.878638700189487
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 4007274.7322687805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 103.5092093152168,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.516838422600777
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 2338507.500646092,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.64344456308066,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.42119154791645
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "export_value_usd": 767066.4835932608,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.19845955673298,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.966409517266897
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "hs_code": "940690",
      "hs_description": "Buildings: prefabricated, not of wood",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17686892.901707232,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.02274991192044,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9527085777982274,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65368894.7174335,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 69.42457111591284,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7182424090347284,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
      "importer_iso3": "PNG",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12441084.222074986,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.97924828834333,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.31251510102311,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ISR",
    "importer_iso3": "PNG",
    "distance_km": 12675,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 26594.277246,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2916.357348855495,
    "importer_population": 9119.005,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 41,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 18.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 481591.266133,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 51430.07968101239,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISR-PNG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISR-PNG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISR-PNG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISR-PNG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISR-PNG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}