{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.646Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Iceland exports to Sweden: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Iceland to Sweden, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ISL",
    "country_name": "Iceland"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SWE",
    "country_name": "Sweden"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
    "importer_iso3": "SWE",
    "all_history_lane_count": 99,
    "current_lane_count": 47,
    "current_product_count": 47,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 54420658.081476495,
    "attention_trade_usd": 6553727.110562285,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 37107617.418919906,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5536363.899073626,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 116986.26597890476,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 14685704.089705754,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 25,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 17,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 1,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 21,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.065855597733015,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.461024736200608,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2743.2575518235076,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 50.41077988787003,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 67.08080254972532,
    "top_product_hs6": "760110",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 27433878.15898347,
    "top_product_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "030520",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 2138.134521484375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.8008317351341248,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 627437.8988869999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 60239,
    "buyer_population_latest": 10415.811,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6041298879049046,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.033187461230712,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.559565412862506,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.328000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.238,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 12.042719330498173,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 627437.8988869999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 60239,
    "buyer_population_2024": 10415.811
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 26112434.026374545,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 28833860.658800565,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.42195694846859,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 26177150.819537736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.213854054094405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 22481983.43158275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.116002973085372,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.867460692081416
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 20418807.39846774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.177019631713879,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.86617870347063
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 18394702.12166268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.912945635389804,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.095557815218937
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 24078172.47406286,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.897322037669706,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.312720453691086
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 26820650.412101515,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.389892405633638,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.516522290099804
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 29484590.876362197,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.932423052122207,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.030963945828347
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 30890217.86582883,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.767327433373092,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.65902825181073
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 32888453.42258073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.46882959981443,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.034729359750247
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 29394527.45305509,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.62356421760703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.10192361380352288
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 35723797.86932809,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.532138682553214,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.965251497107603
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 43713734.325411685,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.36586514488046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.949051133320674
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 30752929.247447,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.649274485411116,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5172867983662464
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 28976501.02240193,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.776452092584128,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.739850719413321
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 30411189.710689243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.951214389819336,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.392224445937693
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 24454418.018076923,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.58743393231529,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.354652592976796
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 24181723.09418846,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.115115165230618,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.851421513065391
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 22540898.537184738,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.785391390897444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.50055040408312
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 30374147.851886652,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.751273565158655,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.493513166856314
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 33337519.579071797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.756230007292466,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.296629744048214
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 28715453.0221711,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.864458469796537,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.404709348968087
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 26957521.03355077,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.121902333433626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8995805209963152
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 32539510.61889761,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.706613113274063,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8043613778531689
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 32049730.155113537,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5051869387968875,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7296474145898983
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 38902672.52881916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.382215514885505,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.00556427995836
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 44252466.4151666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.75173873307627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.79210691919843
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 44894674.403737605,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.4512365989862719,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.889710362782747
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 73286559.22999108,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.241097531803845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.50417290736835
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "760110",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71306858.60620604,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2432815642454789,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "030520",
      "hs_description": "Fish: livers and roes, dried, smoked (whether or not cooked before or during the smoking process), salted or in brine",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19995937.33382517,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.979278537420413,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4174493005508456,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "151790",
      "hs_description": "Edible mixtures or preparations of animal or vegetable fats or oils or of fractions of different fats or oils of this chapter, other than edible fats or oils of heading no. 1516",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 81422765.28292039,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6077956718147265,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "030471",
      "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, cod (Gadus morhua, Gadus ogac, Gadus macrocephalus)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75991086.62330398,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.27251035793233,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2186092644336413,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "391590",
      "hs_description": "Plastics n.e.c. in heading no. 3915: waste, parings and scrap",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11413576.538979487,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7579516869407452,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "030289",
      "hs_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, n.e.c. in heading 0302, excluding fillets, livers, roes, and other fish meat of heading 0304",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10781634.948986158,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.827287714830875,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "010121",
      "hs_description": "Horses: live, pure-bred breeding animals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13445809.284133015,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.76209155292906,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5370055817315667,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "030489",
      "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, of fish n.e.c. in heading 0304.8",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10954681.205250433,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7073103006042278,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "470710",
      "hs_description": "Paper or paperboard: waste and scrap, of unbleached kraft paper or paperboard or of corrugated paper or paperboard",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13238727.574155074,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.6617635959576464,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3229810436783997,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "030444",
      "hs_description": "Fish fillets: fresh or chilled, of the families Bregmacerotidae, Euclichthyidae, Gadidae, Macrouridae, Melanonidae, Merlucciidae, Moridae, and Muraenolepididae",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26003604.661721483,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.269302528429236,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0446065809931155,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ISL",
    "importer_iso3": "SWE",
    "distance_km": 2140,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434,
    "importer_population": 10415.811,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 25458.933915999998,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 68383.7653366282,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-SWE/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-SWE/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-SWE/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-SWE/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-SWE/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}