{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.084Z", "seo": { "title": "Iceland exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Iceland to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ISL", "country_name": "Iceland" }, "importer": { "iso3": "POL", "country_name": "Poland" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "all_history_lane_count": 102, "current_lane_count": 40, "current_product_count": 40, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 268901142.6340361, "attention_trade_usd": 34012900.08153116, "critical_trade_usd": 25482307.14614968, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 99183471.71962455, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 45996465.00081824, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 40894358.03194236, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 21, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 16, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 16, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8962253847815901, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.619247396212497, "product_concentration_hhi": 2198.805677784576, "top1_product_share_pct": 37.983589060060595, "top3_product_share_pct": 70.31028268081634, "top_product_hs6": "760120", "top_product_trade_usd": 102138304.99591969, "top_product_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "top_attention_product_hs6": "030214", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 2773.48095703125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.2581000030040741, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.276262187010099, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.096695189898986, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 5.236470430694951, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.860224759204035, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841, "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 12.648849219588993, "critical_trade_share_pct": 9.476459228300898, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841, "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 3815359.695591356, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 6796731.281557781, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.1412979072824, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 7432066.17177675, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.347653510193709, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 6159490.868743481, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.122766046753867, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.310380300570593 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 3839191.1092391466, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.67031738416505, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.336610215696545 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 5645844.365961668, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.058174634098, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.755552710996007 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 17969341.091652334, "yoy_growth_pct": 218.27553022871152, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.888007058577514 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 40660013.02612881, "yoy_growth_pct": 126.27436820717617, "cagr_3y_pct": 119.60518714875494 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 22603518.068619803, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.40848296311564, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.78728107154028 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 37582332.975773714, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.267626400816, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.884289367702397 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 50784140.94144155, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.127696766930285, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.6928488340020085 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 51105450.81706052, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6326972745083426, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.24931985390287 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 39977623.93253957, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.77424659524998, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0808820692956864 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 58959267.214656666, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.48066897159211, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.101276060150561 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 50156055.5686146, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.931005865442092, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6231140382726208 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 70832578.53170095, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.224380044799204, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.005568906576634 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 102894089.58038157, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.26379204779558, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.39620114948835 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 126523841.93089935, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.965121171569393, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.12869004176675 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 133332552.88513412, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.381365954689654, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.471781465587593 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 88799509.8087979, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.39997780939618, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.792013664712725 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 88608958.41799587, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.21458608410375168, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.195476794304248 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 116513885.72757031, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.492219080082485, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.395023908705776 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 147172506.75355056, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.313276597491075, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.341945939199555 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 181352701.59802297, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.22457882823812, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.964449127279934 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 165615643.58122835, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.677597784937651, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.436648090302938 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 181311708.60983232, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.47740484485431, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.201218337162385 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 276404224.9140873, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.44698041475422, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.081862639748467 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 312340015.2537439, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.001172594531152, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.549812368767075 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 235857979.6778747, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.486787424190737, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.162860619455948 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 282993961.82338136, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.98490032428968, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7884649357386531 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1590228329.5407147, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.363395668574602, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6878645519084229, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "760110", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 436920983.3256105, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.574629947139446, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1544152600818964, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "030214", "hs_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) and Danube salmon (Hucho hucho), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0302.91 to 0302.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1806867605.1029992, "current_below_peak_pct": 53.506777110145634, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9312109915487166, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "030489", "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, of fish n.e.c. in heading 0304.8", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 79652572.94799262, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0413684280758926, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "030499", "hs_description": "Fish: fish meat (whether or not minced) other than fillets, frozen, excluding swordfish (Xiphias gladius) and toothfish (Dissostichus spp.)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53412321.95984186, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.01295065139191, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7105350826575605, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "030486", "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, herrings (Clupea harengus, Clupea pallasii)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78667870.00242522, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.14764926968183, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8796494644183595, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "030473", "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, coalfish (Pollachius virens)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39291841.24133137, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.48663753882563, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8974709202813739, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "890690", "hs_description": "Vessels: other, including lifeboats other than rowing boats, other than warships", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23952097.582447723, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1095798928406555, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "030354", "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, mackerel (Scomber scombrus, Scomber australasicus, Scomber japonicus), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67527288.35303381, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.46267358676456, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.845661757766393, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "280469", "hs_description": "Silicon: containing by weight less than 99.99% of silicon", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 63975059.928894535, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.55485318131095, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.94445100684648, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "POL", "distance_km": 2778, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512, "importer_population": 37781.025, "importer_biz_entry_days": 37, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 25458.933915999998, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 68383.7653366282, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.276262187010099, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.096695189898986, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 5.236470430694951, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.860224759204035 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-POL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-POL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-POL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-POL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-POL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }