{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.859Z", "seo": { "title": "Iceland exports to France: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Iceland to France, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ISL", "country_name": "Iceland" }, "importer": { "iso3": "FRA", "country_name": "France" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "all_history_lane_count": 153, "current_lane_count": 65, "current_product_count": 65, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 477983400.01267797, "attention_trade_usd": 274391301.16792333, "critical_trade_usd": 11086688.575874439, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 135431241.53343797, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 23220507.718420386, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 34094.37005739766, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 268417444.80412242, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 10, "high_volatility_lane_count": 35, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 23, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 25, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1239602131286643, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 7.0009139020951086, "product_concentration_hhi": 2034.0979233350665, "top1_product_share_pct": 40.94969801527771, "top3_product_share_pct": 62.97575213195176, "top_product_hs6": "030444", "top_product_trade_usd": 195732758.8683485, "top_product_description": "Fish fillets: fresh or chilled, of the families Bregmacerotidae, Euclichthyidae, Gadidae, Macrouridae, Melanonidae, Merlucciidae, Moridae, and Muraenolepididae", "top_attention_product_hs6": "030444", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 2234.72314453125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.3203999996185303, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.297285717517172, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868688, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6477571372449898, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.272655989623698, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519, "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.025953008194504, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.671974083461248, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.34476684401285596, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.700000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.02, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 57.406031498300024, "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.3194714660760973, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2937472.7579530003, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 43519, "buyer_population_2024": 67499.344 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 124832235.15740205, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 128618046.2290379, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0327191264838627, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 117947267.24670647, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.296486609141397, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 138333890.35213187, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.284523483518587, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4825879669126314 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 110907069.39248292, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.826537726824135, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.818522841715433 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 103416526.42491812, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.753891351196861, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.287787738912896 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 92036394.01447824, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.004171967332532, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.700785778811197 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 100105998.68426639, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.767840978774899, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3577666601179224 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 123494847.29335177, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.364082988526636, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.092894178079633 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 130783070.60876413, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.901641627281662, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.425280129899164 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 128321707.62771203, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8820195684311702, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.629223688912703 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 127702772.79741539, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.48233057503590526, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1231283663254654 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 126732308.5077178, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7599398732219487, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.043284508945641 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 155496922.99792022, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.697143947670373, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.61227799942834 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 148385435.56432366, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.573394313205581, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.1308840014870905 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 147276883.96623603, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7470757449150711, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.135426383353803 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 210829646.10893637, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.1518921579507, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.680206327951325 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 220662329.68871036, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.663805001452892, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.142042854770253 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 231520000.50401726, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.920491336524857, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.27454335804659 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 270591318.09004366, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.87600099385298, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.674435459038854 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 308295838.50111294, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.934120531732086, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.792625143561253 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 313663512.5430218, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7410789805031746, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.651803190147957 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 354415156.9074376, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.992153290008934, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.41229879442651 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 372095943.7524756, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.988721983370392, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.47045035941598 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 364518899.18860066, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.036314743843415, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.136137097991922 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 206331867.38456452, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.396112562655034, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.50034635696469 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 258260384.0920303, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.167472851239502, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.461066653625096 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 256256257.82145223, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7760099473343551, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.082998276511614 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 224502509.78045475, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.391403945000267, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.853315833868808 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 493622039.5239236, "yoy_growth_pct": 119.87372880893221, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.102038849638685 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "030444", "hs_description": "Fish fillets: fresh or chilled, of the families Bregmacerotidae, Euclichthyidae, Gadidae, Macrouridae, Melanonidae, Merlucciidae, Moridae, and Muraenolepididae", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 364224806.29983157, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9827919250382777, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "760110", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 372004965.2672591, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.383732343055785, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8557014361399852, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "030214", "hs_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) and Danube salmon (Hucho hucho), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0302.91 to 0302.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1636864136.7409496, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2104146411752854, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 915516685.1702209, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.590821743907995, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3751735591276897, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "030471", "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, cod (Gadus morhua, Gadus ogac, Gadus macrocephalus)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 156060272.94503698, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.357619437797787, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.33697573221706895, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "030289", "hs_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, n.e.c. in heading 0302, excluding fillets, livers, roes, and other fish meat of heading 0304", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 111864916.43680353, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.051617997338255, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7520250992815232, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "030453", "hs_description": "Fish meat, excluding fillets, whether or not minced: fresh or chilled, of the families Bregmacerotidae, Euclichthyidae, Gadidae, Macrouridae, Melanonidae, Merlucciidae, Moridae, and Muraenolepididae", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18305461.927228384, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.3447724193692, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.681655753255835, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "030473", "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, coalfish (Pollachius virens)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36453994.23220997, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.38305462728760264, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "030449", "hs_description": "Fish fillets: fresh or chilled, other than fish of heading 0304.4", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70866262.28553724, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0517265787108163, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "030472", "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12832543.413078818, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.35362161097280453, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ISL", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "distance_km": 2236, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532, "importer_population": 67499.344, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 25458.933915999998, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 68383.7653366282, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.297285717517172, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868688, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6477571372449898, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.272655989623698 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-FRA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-FRA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-FRA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-FRA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ISL-FRA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }