{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.636Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Iraq exports to Uzbekistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Iraq to Uzbekistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IRQ",
    "country_name": "Iraq"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "UZB",
    "country_name": "Uzbekistan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
    "importer_iso3": "UZB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 6,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2021,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 9428283.8681012,
    "attention_trade_usd": 8733358.04746867,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 8733358.04746867,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 101639.91204240535,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 9344131.098251244,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0252789372892956,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0.6899198034276532,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8598.809418956569,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 92.62934983339143,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 98.02941145502678,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 8733358.04746867,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 2354.828857421875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0005000000237487257,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.129661378927203,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.129661378927203,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 69238.90310600001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1983,
    "buyer_population_latest": 34915.1,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.30599251867368,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.14382231876436,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.98102847598145,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.586000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 26.401999999999997,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 92.62934983339143,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 69238.90310600001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1983,
    "buyer_population_2024": 34915.1
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 32136.245697686183,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 66425.38898619323,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 106.69928158713282,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 75945.08877210064,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.331417446251038,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 56273.03585339444,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.90299548893671,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.531825846897213
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 55674.29096673015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0639996182615241,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.715523040748993
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 70294.92620509003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.261017400467445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5441092989494263
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 1800615.4930933085,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2461.515589105102,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 217.4730607890602
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 1039325.2277531502,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.279446570368265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 165.27658908459557
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 1779313.3487425502,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 71.19889917318109,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 193.61358956400085
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 2462264.7363075963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.382862020772855,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.995299542227865
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 531411.2097042876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.41778741870016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.036263255505492
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "export_value_usd": 9654220.328068363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1716.7137146844552,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.72015986644469
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 895890327.6798311,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0999149239463095,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "761290",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: casks, drums, cans, boxes and the like for any material (not compressed or liquefied gas), 300l capacity or less, whether or not lined or heat-insulated, no mechanical or thermal equipment",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42252707.16860238,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "940690",
      "hs_description": "Buildings: prefabricated, not of wood",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28095545.632098578,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "271320",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71249326.18811102,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.99808522292535,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5969113013980497,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "UZB",
      "hs_code": "830990",
      "hs_description": "Stoppers: caps and lids, of base metal",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17849968.604640193,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
    "importer_iso3": "UZB",
    "distance_km": 2359,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414,
    "importer_population": 34915.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 207889.333724,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5048.387690121982,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.129661378927203,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.129661378927203,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-UZB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-UZB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-UZB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-UZB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-UZB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}