{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.982Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Iraq exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Iraq to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IRQ",
    "country_name": "Iraq"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "USA",
    "country_name": "United States"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
    "importer_iso3": "USA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 28,
    "current_lane_count": 7,
    "current_product_count": 7,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 7110737765.778443,
    "attention_trade_usd": 7110663045.923152,
    "critical_trade_usd": 5423071330.41097,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1712556731.5484607,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5424559326.116911,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 5436446216.96477,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 7110737765.778443,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 2,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 5,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 7,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0855451466983943,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 67.04012244011848,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6316.714576053258,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 75.91527453528212,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.79097974430626,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 5398136096.374692,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 9651.111328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.2620233930606055,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.67447546369697,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6117933919030303,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.062682071793939,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288,
    "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.99894919686602,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 76.26594467469133,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288,
    "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 288547663.03999996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 1211003654.9599993,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 319.68929576536675,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 4199971234.8185062,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 246.817387182637,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 5700583090.908713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.72909841976699,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 170.3339393057495
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 5412542394.905202,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.052828656473385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.72213111614289
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 3450145567.5014286,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.256470328084035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.3451294954490205
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 4505225963.175703,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.580750146097646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.544567900124299
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 6501937063.537779,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.319887985254525,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.3033987532729485
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 10264841948.393421,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.87359748462717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.82629152074915
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 12073898096.014841,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.623809082657726,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.902578978371324
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 11831013520.73763,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.0116500350237154,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.08427536403481
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 23069859696.94618,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.99478769514444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.987814321866214
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 9590201925.341225,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.429734505014316,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.3895313759134496
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 12502232158.210224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.36463940528955,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8564501228375274
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 17468906168.264816,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.72629804984844,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.853446187925185
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 19308949356.21461,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.53324787611798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.272941484047863
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 13194392621.475199,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.6669572328203,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.812385827182461
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 13545021801.472954,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.6574105383757596,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.130504364047797
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 4257534633.749037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.56753207081549,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.5866133578037
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 5924791838.132041,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.16015600124139,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.423667188483243
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 10430955012.025826,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.05605896382819,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.339661945062183
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 11708949735.502998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.251943585259205,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.10487620466958
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 7072569441.579571,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.59689296355371,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.080292347384897
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 3097945222.047684,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.19774047272137,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.280944856088546
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 3708260846.730838,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.70065901551823,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.83667328830436
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 7564201378.164906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 103.98245136486075,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2653762906793995
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 8253828337.075786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.116983068451635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.63106702814547
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 7114970586.025325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.797933571440646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.260837899079668
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 164969722936.03137,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.59113807943316,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6437282689746858,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33676675741.516453,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.673568160725786,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.509625946584749,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "999999",
      "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6148832754.350104,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 72.33391929214797,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0678355692547936,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "490700",
      "hs_description": "Unused postage, revenue or similar stamps of current or new issue in the country in which they have, or will have, a recognised face value: stamp-impressed paper: cheque forms: banknotes, stock, share or bond certificates and the like of similar title",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 375554805.48016447,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.318627219101394,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "970600",
      "hs_description": "Antiques: of an age exceeding one hundred years",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 759586666.8111045,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 69.37586639487313,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1983247504977264,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "090831",
      "hs_description": "Spices: cardamoms, neither crushed nor ground",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21927864.408773527,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "170240",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: glucose and glucose syrup, containing in the dry state at least 20% but less than 50% by weight of fructose, excluding invert sugar, the syrup not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22642709.52484321,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.989065606361816,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1776212633957455,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
    "importer_iso3": "USA",
    "distance_km": 9664,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179,
    "importer_population": 331893.738,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 207889.333724,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5048.387690121982,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.2620233930606055,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.67447546369697,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6117933919030303,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.062682071793939
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-USA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-USA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-USA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-USA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-USA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}