{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.647Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Iraq exports to Nigeria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Iraq to Nigeria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IRQ",
    "country_name": "Iraq"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NGA",
    "country_name": "Nigeria"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
    "importer_iso3": "NGA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 12,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 6058661.178160676,
    "attention_trade_usd": 6058661.178160676,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 6058661.178160676,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 6058661.178160676,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6537502186598318,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "271490",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 6058661.178160676,
    "top_product_description": "Bitumen and asphalt, natural: asphaltites and asphaltic rock",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271490",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 5173.20263671875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.2,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 440776.971536,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2085,
    "buyer_population_latest": 211400.711,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.702539793973116,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -19.412873862302447,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1223415578896843,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.304000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.386000000000003,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 100,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 440776.971536,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2085,
    "buyer_population_2024": 211400.711
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 365139.4174635994,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 90635.47592245991,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.17784397202328,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 16035.901709098544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -82.3072571243323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 41964.04132862419,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 161.68806774872152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -51.380980530360745
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 70610.39225416639,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.2640423051966,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.985387501740881
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 33920.894456871036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.960478657630574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.368353257938182
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 67766.60827676477,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.77836481560685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.322006315976225
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 714740.1982776864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 954.7085304293594,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 116.31826687110606
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 24631.893412547226,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.55372770806751,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.117150181967693
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 872978.2715944871,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3444.097309018888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 134.420665669465
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 6735.631958628466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.22843074360534,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -78.87759428573446
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 24258.370024209264,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 260.14987417971753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5080506995155054
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 74505.52349959093,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 207.13326338594152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -55.972062081260574
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 33383.07929557031,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.19381956190994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 70.49671472475359
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 73225.26753906411,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 119.34845162345633,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.521718450423634
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 7803.282001040754,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.34345716541374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -52.86289090651357
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2063434.4811127838,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26343.161747038943,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 295.386129533294
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1310752.5426155694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.477142617647,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 161.58926277150857
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 5989266.922522949,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 356.93345828431785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 815.5852526215401
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1065901.216209688,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -82.2031438905935,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.76286284888732
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 32287.226810754793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.97089877375625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -70.90377284778116
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 6066764.084125346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18689.98193212593,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.42946430015329273
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "271490",
      "hs_description": "Bitumen and asphalt, natural: asphaltites and asphaltic rock",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18632032.85171509,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6537502186598318,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
    "importer_iso3": "NGA",
    "distance_km": 5170,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767,
    "importer_population": 211400.711,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.2,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 26.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 207889.333724,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5048.387690121982,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-NGA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-NGA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-NGA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-NGA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-NGA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}