{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.012Z", "seo": { "title": "Iraq exports to Jordan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Iraq to Jordan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IRQ", "country_name": "Iraq" }, "importer": { "iso3": "JOR", "country_name": "Jordan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "all_history_lane_count": 44, "current_lane_count": 15, "current_product_count": 15, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 232494674.4261491, "attention_trade_usd": 230078595.29250017, "critical_trade_usd": 219807842.21487778, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 6647828.652632604, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 221713319.0132725, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 231470162.36464795, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 12, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8692448782914277, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 58.16428071387022, "product_concentration_hhi": 8944.59474217224, "top1_product_share_pct": 94.54317298123695, "top3_product_share_pct": 97.78002352451831, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 219807842.21487778, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 811.1159057617188, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.6272000074386597, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.365928233680815, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.09184268343435, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.00006892710848484848, "tariff_advantage_pp": 20.091773756325864, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 45243.661972, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4406, "buyer_population_latest": 10269.022, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6937885914547497, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.061746565351674, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.5990731895402677, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.302, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.314, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.96080237553295, "critical_trade_share_pct": 94.54317298123695, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 45243.661972, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4406, "buyer_population_2024": 10269.022 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 418801245.9878983, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 508501508.11047167, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.41833697533111, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 477810596.7620298, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.035559552711156, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 71027644.86377841, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.1347698554385, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.64717169204931 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 97182467.04444502, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.82343998710373, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.39875220599898 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 637072167.7440425, "yoy_growth_pct": 555.5422877386789, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.063744763583916 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 637927280.4837276, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.13422541165362123, "cagr_3y_pct": 107.86494438039682 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 698503294.392165, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.495755356708347, "cagr_3y_pct": 92.986462896475 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 347719940.270132, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.21928413770522, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.27649434834496 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 49924451.63378973, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.64233860301336, "cagr_3y_pct": -57.22591683443397 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 28119341.540260274, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.67621351853044, "cagr_3y_pct": -65.7275175530315 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 12123316.645842332, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.88620009652574, "cagr_3y_pct": -67.33139292607166 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 31353501.421118166, "yoy_growth_pct": 158.6214840133767, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.363761789278195 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 62932151.81497768, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.71809833841941, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.80443772827546 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 136851967.54260716, "yoy_growth_pct": 117.45953951321391, "cagr_3y_pct": 124.32440907706179 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 201626615.31097046, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.33190828856482, "cagr_3y_pct": 85.96045662260721 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 188237596.59626698, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.6405016490771684, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.08250899230357 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 221098150.65123177, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.456955809653827, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.33962287925226 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 81295410.27247758, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.231076319260616, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.12354357307578 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 7764554.681088793, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.44896304100766, "cagr_3y_pct": -65.44824900540323 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 848659.7251741413, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.07007858105345, "cagr_3y_pct": -84.34272567339515 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 2144478.841699294, "yoy_growth_pct": 152.69006859719374, "cagr_3y_pct": -70.23184537765216 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 4861318.695622483, "yoy_growth_pct": 126.68998178458848, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.451477459857697 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 9510459.925561193, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.63539280247488, "cagr_3y_pct": 123.78070747271951 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 66004163.78375589, "yoy_growth_pct": 594.0165281213896, "cagr_3y_pct": 213.3885963389679 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 60055415.91439472, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.012685758508464, "cagr_3y_pct": 131.17065059569256 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 81560756.41405092, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.8091608761993, "cagr_3y_pct": 104.68840490960378 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 155439786.8312558, "yoy_growth_pct": 90.58159054110651, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.04450832836751 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 260467702.14888972, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.56823169839483, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.07994884745973 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 236908345.25459522, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.04502043820673, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.681074572562736 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1179066057.27324, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.93189168191336, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8606032422673103, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "080410", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: dates, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24921329.900238443, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.3045572290924, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2758377525715345, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "720610", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: ingots (excluding iron of heading no. 7203)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55821579.6626843, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.57905421259501, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9416294124006261, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "381700", "hs_description": "Mixed alkylbenzenes and mixed alkylnaphthalenes, other than those of heading no. 2707 or 2902", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25493087.126066368, "current_below_peak_pct": 93.47689875644872, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0605902289587112, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "720719", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel, containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, other than rectangular or square cross-section", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15320573.372549424, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.39237890093024, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7720644566249112, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "392330", "hs_description": "Plastics: carboys, bottles, flasks and similar articles, for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22908504.927717827, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.142955729293014, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0587722988397656, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "220299", "hs_description": "Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit, nut or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76381557.23031516, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.155476844582836, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7418898690692745, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "071340", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: lentils, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12395030.847908616, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.27882810953759, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6597935370118965, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "121410", "hs_description": "Lucerne (alfalfa) meal and pellets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10902497.627251716, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.477149176682374, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.069986201708438, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "080252", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: pistachios, fresh or dried, shelled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35771704.45068027, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.67115483316088, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5135378799433172, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "distance_km": 808, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 45243.661972, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4405.8394238516585, "importer_population": 10269.022, "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 23.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 207889.333724, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5048.387690121982, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.365928233680815, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.09184268343435, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.00006892710848484848, "tariff_advantage_pp": 20.091773756325864 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-JOR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-JOR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-JOR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-JOR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-JOR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }