{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.445Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Iraq exports to France: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Iraq to France, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IRQ",
    "country_name": "Iraq"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 20,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1973725821.2113254,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 37916269.59799412,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5661018850879613,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 9.934068362147883,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 9586.812289706233,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 97.89328212619205,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.97827474168204,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1932144986.5559037,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 3867.433837890625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.012799999676644802,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9233732909909096,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868688,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6374432120643954,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.282969914804292,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519,
    "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.025953008194504,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.671974083461248,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.34476684401285596,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.700000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.02,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 43519,
    "buyer_population_2024": 67499.344
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 486564468.1162713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 685645493.966762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.9156522713692,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 750908108.0414634,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.518419452759531,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1223265660.8353524,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.90484118301818,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.97533303984682
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 819010520.5727682,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.047207422345494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.10355897190209
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 689204488.3466024,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.849128792068147,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8177161378153848
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 184266199.3231744,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.26392929256338,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.79224138936896
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 248227180.47187313,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.711184896434034,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.82825696375512
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 568356297.9634576,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 128.96618206073472,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.2241822711174954
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 919395383.6305135,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.763912342469716,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 70.87776179385634
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1434957282.7042112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.07618966258499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 79.47193537329022
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2192245306.373849,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.774255568257075,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.82771834747031
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1167774997.940253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.731554422992595,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.297629690286445
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1327362056.8751392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.665908177206166,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.564591841522701
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1185858595.6143408,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.660502198919586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.520581854527883
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1293554934.0188925,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.08171841084975,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.468598854645988
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1097786311.221933,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.134156087885199,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.133749408478762
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 974142501.9780233,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.263012480660572,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.345238535061826
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 840488211.7938287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.72019903790317,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.38716583056474
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 166825868.58852607,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.15131369511124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.63598127599523
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 135119717.74249452,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.005536200284602,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -48.23549336995395
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 552718774.0186083,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 309.05856173556884,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.039065809906802
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 994397548.6133115,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 79.91021752046245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 81.31436643806941
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 253312914.97269353,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.52599160909652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.304672602350117
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1024226940.016361,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 304.3326966281091,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.827984678217383
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 905680339.1110003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.574251396225431,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.0670049897255636
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1716501679.2140617,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 89.52621637993701,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 89.23245920614107
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1974047044.5502608,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.00408467145351,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.447764946622442
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26499813984.17787,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.147855038042444,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5559420154051263,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24858052988.411655,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0730346555642405,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "271320",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 421067701.7621358,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7487743150667256,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "271312",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum coke: calcined, obtained from bituminous minerals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 97959489.16251783,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "070959",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables: truffles and mushrooms (other than of the genus Agaricus), fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69202242.54811457,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5559776145036884,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IRQ",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "distance_km": 3867,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "importer_population": 67499.344,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 207889.333724,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5048.387690121982,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9233732909909096,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868688,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6374432120643954,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.282969914804292
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-FRA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-FRA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-FRA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-FRA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-FRA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}