{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.598Z", "seo": { "title": "Iraq exports to China: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Iraq to China, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IRQ", "country_name": "Iraq" }, "importer": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "all_history_lane_count": 22, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 34593152577.60332, "attention_trade_usd": 26127595.864910834, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 34548682288.69056, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4649040.108690264, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 21478555.756220568, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0732058475832411, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 4.796072856930896, "product_concentration_hhi": 9387.512449954087, "top1_product_share_pct": 96.84254307478443, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.92447176993686, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 33500888685.891396, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271112", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 6298.4443359375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878786, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878786, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12556, "buyer_population_latest": 1412359.985, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.1812362915018895, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.16286575688667, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.01746865158438471, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 44.900000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 46.43, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0.07552823006315605, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12556, "buyer_population_2024": 1412359.985 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 517203.77507984295, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 95067.29212098938, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.61898719584684, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 30160995.49230962, "yoy_growth_pct": 31625.943612577703, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 52970456.51543063, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.62569023604316, "cagr_3y_pct": 367.8687190115305 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 102844698.40883955, "yoy_growth_pct": 94.15482737793705, "cagr_3y_pct": 926.5582440817285 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 572415293.5241375, "yoy_growth_pct": 456.58220830072275, "cagr_3y_pct": 166.74022853569608 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 64584474.26624852, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.71719973297235, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.831207601106115 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 85134611.26357882, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.819004847221755, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.105227044564421 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 281581.0524014122, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.6692519667123, "cagr_3y_pct": -92.10599495256861 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 216122096.00667214, "yoy_growth_pct": 76653.0677804897, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.574312053511726 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 430542475.28495157, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.21261325896997, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.64715730013856 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 598948212.5307946, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.11477889246233, "cagr_3y_pct": 1186.0621255349417 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 745150596.3173553, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.40985392857211, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.07118211132369 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1333760474.9523673, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.99206972979815, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.7764198057683 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 3179458654.1390877, "yoy_growth_pct": 138.38303157488872, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.44343754507028 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 6030406823.036302, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.66772268561468, "cagr_3y_pct": 100.77094017202603 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 10207321460.391464, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.2642264432185, "cagr_3y_pct": 97.06582524241571 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 12101241837.920456, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.55452857910049, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.13211860065701 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 17029190528.641392, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.722669265882395, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.34565553496028 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 19488808639.408733, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.443540969434277, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.057921234230783 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 11508231555.34144, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.94953792059716, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6609027511595875 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 9760056926.94124, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.19064523505178, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.934736183132003 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 12582232123.152851, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.915560814214114, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.571402183222848 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 21169308451.63378, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.24763876895624, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.527251908569635 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 22885598443.07691, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.107444772531846, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.85257430537507 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 18045814091.485775, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.14772905602217, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.773292970483375 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 25137982958.5969, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.30090840544176, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.894788067351953 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 35481723841.02355, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.14785541649519, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.739289678212543 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 32065270397.061348, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.628769614660438, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.12100782940558 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 34596412663.419685, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.89371876492988, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.232973514428956 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 291595370039.4009, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.907856499603602, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0424166265722281, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17857965043.274822, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.080167671702737, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "271320", "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1135517718.2254472, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.25685951872301, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.875508466431057, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "271112", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12892620207.89072, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.35509392911948856, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "250300", "hs_description": "Sulphur of all kinds: other than sublimed, precipitated and colloidal sulphur", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 854450159.9640381, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.53891908017617, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5940814733332285, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "080410", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: dates, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19843279.56476903, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2015881357228217, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IRQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "distance_km": 7085, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "importer_population": 1412359.985, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 207889.333724, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5048.387690121982, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878786, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878786, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-CHN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-CHN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-CHN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-CHN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRQ-CHN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }