{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.471Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Iran exports to United Rep. of Tanzania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Iran to United Rep. of Tanzania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IRN",
    "country_name": "Iran"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "TZA",
    "country_name": "United Rep. of Tanzania"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
    "importer_iso3": "TZA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 50,
    "current_lane_count": 7,
    "current_product_count": 7,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1453491.1816864444,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1304633.3213313657,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1196032.9195710702,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1256639.764163327,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 5,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3441156169754016,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 57.81976304760232,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3990.801704381608,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 59.24629796970912,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 85.56866478665795,
    "top_product_hs6": "281511",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 861139.7164653969,
    "top_product_description": "Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda): solid",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 4899.716796875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0020000000949949026,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.963238129898997,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.963238129898997,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 29.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 67775.101794,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1102,
    "buyer_population_latest": 61498.44,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.256797873241803,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.220129140572591,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.9880576289668337,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 31.53,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.898000000000003,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 67775.101794,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1102,
    "buyer_population_2024": 61498.44
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 1017683.8554637831,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 900544.1420440268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.51042269078475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 678222.5009588747,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.687478459471556,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 77471068.28920315,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11322.662648271642,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 323.8142483083697
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 72697652.11071686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.161546863749057,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 332.1870932975659
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 3138098.905645624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -95.68335590691929,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.63445720040933
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 3871519.407985985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.371490969290186,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -63.166134437064635
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 5581798.733862891,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.17592024332937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -57.497162039562234
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 2452076.9984650733,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.07012872769581,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.893737737148488
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 4979371.367240515,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 103.06749626367574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.750440720283459
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 5563935.593001926,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.739719387215896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.10678893524808108
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 10705160.450032147,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.40266662138626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.43799497398446
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 15667732.771200022,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.356823368798494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.53584712160483
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 30260467.545314927,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 93.1387775577769,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.85896518176465
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 7444342.40683332,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.39911636961509,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.404624495360437
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 24457961.68293148,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 228.5442870075535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.00357358241167
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 28960075.986345284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.407561356822733,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4534659641168735
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 41205672.273350365,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.28440661819705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 76.89282640629338
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 72109495.15792172,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.99895324983763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.39171694157431
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 56563329.55774396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.559110303201045,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.000501762351334
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 31003884.18400559,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.18730699480028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.046440373208675
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 19271857.174845513,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.84050714269034,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.58647923923173
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 19057026.590981893,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1147373183318598,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.41642709794753
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 20659699.92140715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.409881377736372,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.655418609605807
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 15746479.986989468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.78166165582446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.512551774969788
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 10964294.951921728,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.369867037071284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.828374377391153
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 27477189.590356912,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 150.60607828268013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.97216298666508
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 22687239.53448638,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.4324598959406,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.94475220904272
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 5529683.670130745,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.62645882181836,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.401199009187366
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 6775054.738066249,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.52156076598968,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.29336452237314
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "281511",
      "hs_description": "Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda): solid",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24206073.055555277,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.607174126917634,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3894118607599586,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "271320",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19165065.60012539,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.75760026819093,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2045678529175718,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "283620",
      "hs_description": "Carbonates: disodium carbonate",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41047332.754526265,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.429448491204493,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6661844807727735,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "490199",
      "hs_description": "Printed matter: books, brochures, leaflets and similar printed matter n.e.c. in item no. 4901.10 or 4901.91",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13257144.204277424,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.795562646570122,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.295863258829843,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "847420",
      "hs_description": "Machines: for crushing or grinding earth, stone, ores or other mineral substances",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24678988.422737174,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.67563563103528,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6065723098511686,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "340211",
      "hs_description": "Organic surface-active agents: anionic (other than soap), whether or not put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10561621.366241923,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 26.335961998292877,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7177712092089927,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "190531",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10491289.220551077,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.224479273889255,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1479396663820771,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
    "importer_iso3": "TZA",
    "distance_km": 4875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 67775.10179399999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1102.0621302589138,
    "importer_population": 61498.44,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 29.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.963238129898997,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.963238129898997,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-TZA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-TZA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-TZA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-TZA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-TZA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}