{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.647Z", "seo": { "title": "Iran exports to Myanmar: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Iran to Myanmar, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IRN", "country_name": "Iran" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MMR", "country_name": "Myanmar" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "all_history_lane_count": 26, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 6196307.21471652, "attention_trade_usd": 6100524.674185226, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1205714.3018262726, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1205714.3018262726, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 6196307.21471652, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 6196307.21471652, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9984170887645604, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 43.847072355408756, "product_concentration_hhi": 6621.332013517412, "top1_product_share_pct": 78.99560500702012, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 4894810.372358953, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 4882.67529296875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.881800151919194, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.881800151919194, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65067.808984999996, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1187, "buyer_population_latest": 54806.015, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26699315940599266, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.9569924159110843, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6966663001618523, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.234, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.125999999999998, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.45419961902783, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65067.808984999996, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1187, "buyer_population_2024": 54806.015 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 1796400.6940855498, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 2862587.133421868, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.351259596292685, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 2093125.9864270473, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.87992054498706, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 6988722.5377995875, "yoy_growth_pct": 233.88924427474583, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.27687141865516 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 2445848.542675571, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.00292393285297, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.109307714700462 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 1762831.1271734517, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.925580982825316, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.563812242095634 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 1662441.5868653655, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.694790542361949, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.0393166876275 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 3214371.5616870224, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.3524514234461, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.535654007816664 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 4296893.794383148, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.67756999840981, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.58024140599745 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 4174458.75459581, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.8493848264852017, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.92038415322485 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 1675398.0949662584, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.86550129111341, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.52259203915667 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 8653692.005660133, "yoy_growth_pct": 416.5155691450404, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.284176989580764 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 12163732.953053426, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.561195673447536, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.83092019751182 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 18987876.45099607, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.10237847444357, "cagr_3y_pct": 124.62226041214785 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 12590898.79037541, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.68980031616483, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.314398975144993 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 41187407.02746734, "yoy_growth_pct": 227.12046783309341, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.16401034622624 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 68441728.20659684, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.17149062322363, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.32566489864976 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 74746228.62944165, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.21148630819808, "cagr_3y_pct": 81.06903372922385 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 96867048.68667416, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.59456344867597, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.98537189379047 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 109319149.08036812, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.854836151735638, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.893875757441677 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 63123406.62385962, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.25768572580709, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.477823217057132 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 39945263.8318784, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.71877680825334, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.567419581103234 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 56886474.98329181, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.41106335588511, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.566383978782 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 90829762.56663413, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.66846705356914, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.896180743863429 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 63240080.876288295, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.37515557756261, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.549131315188248 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 37216022.99558354, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.15120904353936, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.189222464940409 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 82578973.51849608, "yoy_growth_pct": 121.89091383648329, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1245423708355813 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 85515895.42622714, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.5565008652877594, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.582094187443802 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 7358211.109406862, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.39550480909757, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.74309242572182 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 8384146.315365002, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.942725897692254, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.34876741275286 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2228385044.7370386, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.284081367703386, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9024714310165927, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "310590", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: n.e.s. in heading no. 3105", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70639571.01168618, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.52931770535729, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4218572238112082, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "847150", "hs_description": "Digital processing units: other than those of subheadings 8471.41 or 8471.49, whether or not containing in the same housing one or two of the following types of unit: storage units, input units or output units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29077908.421241704, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.189661157592827, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5712826043532871, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "distance_km": 4881, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65067.808984999996, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1187.2384625118248, "importer_population": 54806.015, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.881800151919194, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.881800151919194, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-MMR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-MMR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-MMR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-MMR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-MMR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }