{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.658Z", "seo": { "title": "Iran exports to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Iran to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IRN", "country_name": "Iran" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "all_history_lane_count": 20, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 9332688.858619826, "attention_trade_usd": 4712631.678807441, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4620057.179812383, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1158632.0664476624, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3553999.612359779, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8738121562158304, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.06102508869166, "product_concentration_hhi": 4032.981142816843, "top1_product_share_pct": 49.2811051630633, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.77707422619967, "top_product_hs6": "390120", "top_product_trade_usd": 4599252.210957929, "top_product_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "top_attention_product_hs6": "760511", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 2676.816650390625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.01080000028014183, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.51420017063492, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.51420017063492, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13879.269152, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6721, "buyer_population_latest": 2065.092, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.102292619107685, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.699259143923331, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5594851638195619, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.060000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.984, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 50.49596906313636, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13879.269152, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6721, "buyer_population_2024": 2065.092 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 5425298.773866628, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 8545519.551628664, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.51242296169883, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 9827970.884577958, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.007295053287617, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 4242627.938181449, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.83108967244728, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.869429063768174 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 6270389.68763156, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.79494641048554, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.804399726583146 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 5571433.278798801, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.146937330090678, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.237355798892562 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 2277710.286742737, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.118055036031755, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.72546154416407 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 3330285.7099530376, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.21199760727897, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.01666567709155 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 1640847.7122816974, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.72952127267074, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.467509497318915 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 1718324.9155907056, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.721779037085128, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.966284617885012 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 2121165.482036099, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.443794755598326, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.96053806465284 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 2676646.582585369, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.18754195528703, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.717469742324397 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 2587047.786316492, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3474272192608012, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.612782045474336 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 2954671.9459141544, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.210180482251378, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.680728740629775 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 3054109.2315856214, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.3654255867211713, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.49556165754561 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 4818130.551305714, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.75894658503273, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.033875481669973 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 4484278.938120255, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.929069472702121, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.919691181755844 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 2713079.819501896, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.497969306985624, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8699130596022924 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 1705628.7073664556, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.13311731169052, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.259415394679454 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 2284678.263016972, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.94933218171423, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.13114162775882 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 2402498.2057148125, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.156959936330652, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9714951539957077 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 4144544.5365636777, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.50978696696076, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.44070192379021 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 4015392.2059266265, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1162008152561427, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.67972373888667 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 7838326.66586059, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.20700006070142, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.315575858132135 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 7271458.105644335, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.2320098967706965, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.609513356368115 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 40742192.959087774, "yoy_growth_pct": 460.3029319176356, "cagr_3y_pct": 116.49048325546349 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 292372966.65640664, "yoy_growth_pct": 617.617156616974, "cagr_3y_pct": 234.12165083558895 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 274136020.7804743, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.237562276872266, "cagr_3y_pct": 235.31130771266305 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 8701697.390176725, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.8257738018511, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.22496235420026 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 15214398.843762541, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.84403515270427, "cagr_3y_pct": -62.66588500321608 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24415279.285869632, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.00736569116021, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1759688139069557, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "760511", "hs_description": "Aluminium: (not alloyed), wire, maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 7mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15448082.738866512, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6543879022838501, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "740811", "hs_description": "Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13523601.917972209, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.22390406338574, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.34430197768604937, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "392010", "hs_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil and strip, of polymers of ethylene, non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13337859.554558504, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.049083258785947, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "distance_km": 2681, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "importer_population": 2065.092, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.51420017063492, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.51420017063492, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-MKD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-MKD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-MKD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-MKD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-MKD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }