{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.480Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Iran exports to Lithuania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Iran to Lithuania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IRN",
    "country_name": "Iran"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LTU",
    "country_name": "Lithuania"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 18,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 892693.912794656,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 119519.50620314368,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 119519.50620314368,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7284753280019051,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 39.58756265244257,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 7241.037172718809,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 84.29697633178932,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 97.7818880399486,
    "top_product_hs6": "390311",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 752513.9763838352,
    "top_product_description": "Styrene polymers: expansible polystyrene, in primary forms",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 2912.95751953125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23433,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2795.321,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.014668841947326,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.425656534698645,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5432407108000303,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.136,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.744,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23433,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2795.321
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 222011.1623080856,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 270891.206074988,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.016930706876536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 110418.83105059576,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.238680114248645,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 593412.7345960333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 437.4198666567315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.7801493408793
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 735827.070958973,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.99920461091696,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.52765167218393
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1682702.4956476553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 128.68178707459873,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 147.9256142466928
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2015542.6786316936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.780096829055417,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.318250394223
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2228276.4576641815,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.554665068015723,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.67642549367987
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2913363.432032909,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.745151572748664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.07772246327435
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2567111.939258974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.884939893418133,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.397084814948407
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4182838.245436961,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.93945665043279,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.358003764391434
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 9132184.90252071,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 118.32507896959603,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.35020793731051
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 9520543.535439013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.252636549344335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.788602379837336
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 9076124.763510471,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.66799789606811,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.46224355105722
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2227583.6294150874,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.45666584079106,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.5182611807787
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 3593961.1680093687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.33900072488237,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.72792137701946
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4753051.812968426,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.251062011364404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.395857194480993
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 3872765.309446054,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.52044829640951,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.24371547416919
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4787954.101264199,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.631403369212943,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.033653355026463
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4084939.510366534,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.682985175485353,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.923972604525484
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4200925.99332462,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.839368432843181,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7482933814735544
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 7091985.150436431,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.81956886900124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.991537930520748
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 5953779.860190285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.049177573025542,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.379807227560136
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 3046724.152459344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.827060724378725,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.154561037772547
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1175900.373910211,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.40443587710382,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.06266724615083
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 6357800.148902713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 440.67506822548046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.212662177386604
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 15368580.474998938,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 141.7279580210049,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.50108557131018
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 15354306.223404821,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.09287944073519405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 135.4795640544056
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1547934.7656996162,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.91856262876877,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.55726350079788
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1581389.9915513492,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1612813791033636,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -53.14005835494965
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "390311",
      "hs_description": "Styrene polymers: expansible polystyrene, in primary forms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38920863.202106394,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 32.01752531772585,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6491739244780265,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "390110",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 95805476.17247628,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.79766165702033,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3125026119616268,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "842230",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for filling, closing, sealing, capsuling or labelling bottles, cans, bags or other containers, machinery for aerating beverages",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13180495.286740473,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.41630506981884136,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "080711",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: watermelons, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12696717.163402025,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.5078371450909,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1267708074547114,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "distance_km": 2912,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201,
    "importer_population": 2795.321,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-LTU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-LTU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-LTU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-LTU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-LTU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}