{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.936Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Iran exports to Jordan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Iran to Jordan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IRN",
    "country_name": "Iran"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "JOR",
    "country_name": "Jordan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
    "importer_iso3": "JOR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 76,
    "current_lane_count": 15,
    "current_product_count": 15,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 66333094.284824066,
    "attention_trade_usd": 60048619.984527215,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 61266033.01766525,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4538095.753066698,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 60581727.765539944,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 7,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1085318179926327,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 28.390442177639457,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5916.194339600856,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 76.00530876121454,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 90.52588399794485,
    "top_product_hs6": "720610",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 50416673.12204809,
    "top_product_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: ingots (excluding iron of heading no. 7203)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "720610",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 1490.0433349609375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.019600000232458115,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.091842683434354,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.091842683434354,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 45243.661972,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4406,
    "buyer_population_latest": 10269.022,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6937885914547497,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.061746565351674,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.5990731895402677,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.302,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.314,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 90.52588399794485,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 45243.661972,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4406,
    "buyer_population_2024": 10269.022
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 7653731.548712897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 8848848.249391485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.614823868228921,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 5870353.299398369,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.65969068571088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 7485351.274434909,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.511086516752847,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7387697754141387
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 7472083.986407513,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.1772433589417366,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.481171007850594
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 6305011.744420272,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.619099626158706,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4095725590598915
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 10250314.984624129,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.574082335299686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.047386470479292
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 9047146.70567689,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.737866404613296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.5834963504312505
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 16499826.256455729,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 82.3760218909951,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.80484609939212
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 7177073.919630578,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.5021242764755,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.201955337839543
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 20942622.920492005,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 191.7989023801217,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.2837446008609
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 9857300.261248078,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.931873439773995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.77787305963324
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 6286136.8798440015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.228615206572954,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.321989072976596
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 6765549.706603035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.626509506915657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.38421988629353
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 5474253.650837949,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.086343486691238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.803061214584847
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 7622297.8898942275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.239033776366504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.635226241329351
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 8478625.007666845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.234500804645142,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.813740276996994
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 13685497.711131992,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.41175837776529,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.72042988105986
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 22363173.87136027,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.40782296262213,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.158072031931695
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 33076683.142830025,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.906926508272484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.42202998938721
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 192132923.75159347,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 480.87119231978306,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 141.23874756412636
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 140689521.61234716,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.774902049456617,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 84.6047072045865
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 116309152.56605741,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.329200331967066,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.065483155158844
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 20178864.455134213,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -82.65066505090931,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -52.819235129494444
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 27425590.75708283,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.91245839457926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.01734742874773
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 107936518.53057596,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 293.5613255758244,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.459531296038475
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 57623304.611862466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.61370832010012,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.8732374766758
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 198721020.6403845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 244.862242766055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 93.50666997008969
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 23035970.47533592,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.40788437926606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.239709156621885
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "export_value_usd": 70169977.6554544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 204.61046879090148,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.786837689214287
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "hs_code": "720610",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: ingots (excluding iron of heading no. 7203)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55821579.6626843,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.742928239560186,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1369908706073322,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "hs_code": "080251",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: pistachios, fresh or dried, in shell",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44466834.39173615,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.58692078184054,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0362004701693095,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "hs_code": "080252",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: pistachios, fresh or dried, shelled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35771704.45068027,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 68.74129074983104,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3183043321970804,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "hs_code": "721391",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly wound coils, n.e.s. in heading no. 7213, of circular cross-section measuring less than 14mm in diameter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33340060.164477162,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 47.43230255650755,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8386358724014147,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "hs_code": "190110",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for infant use, put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45530941.56230312,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.404975446569885,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.40472847775461385,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "hs_code": "720711",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10499333.438431572,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.91385584493615,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2508591975532237,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "hs_code": "200290",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable preparations: tomatoes, (other than whole or in pieces), prepared or preserved otherwise than by vinegar or acetic acid",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14102226.070126593,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.10329938273137,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.777588119838062,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "hs_code": "170490",
      "hs_description": "Sugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white chocolate), not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45741147.51457227,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.912786229758275,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2291294074691193,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "hs_code": "390319",
      "hs_description": "Styrene polymers: (other than expansible polystyrene), in primary forms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49631792.404657684,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.22430682559895,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9351440995161727,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "JOR",
      "hs_code": "842199",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts for filtering or purifying liquids or gases",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14196139.444497183,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.19229845490903,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8206601569708647,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
    "importer_iso3": "JOR",
    "distance_km": 1490,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 45243.661972,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4405.8394238516585,
    "importer_population": 10269.022,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 23.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.091842683434354,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.091842683434354,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-JOR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-JOR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-JOR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-JOR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-JOR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}