{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.430Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Iran exports to Belgium: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Iran to Belgium, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IRN",
    "country_name": "Iran"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BEL",
    "country_name": "Belgium"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
    "importer_iso3": "BEL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 83,
    "current_lane_count": 12,
    "current_product_count": 12,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 9068870.169212012,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1617874.0920830425,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7588637.235252878,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3373127.2588796853,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2289044.8041157196,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 8,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 8,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.148023499514494,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 34.41193293680877,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3335.826746596565,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 53.26338845370437,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 79.14273539514551,
    "top_product_hs6": "720221",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 4830387.5465895105,
    "top_product_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-silicon, containing by weight more than 55% of silicon",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "720270",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 4088.11865234375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9237216556979801,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868689,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6378997400239916,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.2825133868446965,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 599879.025378,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 51768,
    "buyer_population_latest": 11587.882,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.5783569491818055,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.918136849252618,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6353271141561478,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.874000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.938,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 17.839863862816976,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 599879.025378,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 51768,
    "buyer_population_2024": 11587.882
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 61100026.80133036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 71828547.60917453,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.558946156813438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 34674836.6813653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.7255494708954,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 21030856.250344288,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.348362492370335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.91821018529309
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 26768453.203932498,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.281803866137324,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.037087729882828
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 113348197.45197776,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 323.43947402730765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.41121866697817
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 106638327.53081869,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.9196970679678,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.79827154008693
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 169715762.55942333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.15081049107334,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.08290230636038
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 219264011.87493268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.194842345984682,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.599867176211653
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 333849084.7798104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.25895117263322,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.28920786398025
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 215921282.8902133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.32368584067744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.357195814353457
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 252853573.25615495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.10451599378471,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.865809351025896
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 210437825.82570928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.774826190601676,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.25847464864044
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 121359820.70569044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.32984482257284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.473551062547223
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 15738789.303452488,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.0313014538637,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -60.369087197218505
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 32414147.27439944,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.95070338281367,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.39521008539619
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 34597443.143967696,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.735626425973007,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.185281809824744
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 97080241.28709862,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 180.5994676633358,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 83.39458508653819
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 82890695.15404028,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.616307031103403,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.74886390040821
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 53260214.53242802,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.74644966669459,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.46569369255677
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 12483428.366615882,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.56143807116055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.52600556731181
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 19345781.682904605,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.97170420459607,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.431274034534155
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 43199361.1954473,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 123.3011924952173,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.740846068824402
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 40310789.49718867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.686607436600367,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.8072749404147
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 23150184.853313077,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.57074807495993,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.1669628589850145
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "export_value_usd": 16150465.521441784,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.236127167984783,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.960740491679935
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "hs_code": "720221",
      "hs_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-silicon, containing by weight more than 55% of silicon",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80050413.5084735,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.055508382087798,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "hs_code": "720270",
      "hs_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-molybdenum",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 91111331.05232863,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.42604490577527,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3554499842831336,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "hs_code": "080620",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29082109.230704013,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.92919881472679,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8278337150973312,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "hs_code": "392390",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: articles for the conveyance or packing of goods n.e.c. in heading no. 3923",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 236772399.61828777,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.069374514043034,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6009838689851018,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "hs_code": "690721",
      "hs_description": "Ceramic tiles: flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles other than those of subheadings 6907.30 and 6907.40, of a water absorption coefficient by weight not over 0.5%",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 237126208.81987667,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.56966172592819,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.966263295406483,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "hs_code": "390311",
      "hs_description": "Styrene polymers: expansible polystyrene, in primary forms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42106088.86581433,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 97.77199951318354,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3022992349546538,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "hs_code": "200290",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable preparations: tomatoes, (other than whole or in pieces), prepared or preserved otherwise than by vinegar or acetic acid",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 88902532.67671303,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0072932793933482,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "hs_code": "080410",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: dates, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24877828.803037442,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 74.61706353417557,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9806203114585584,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "hs_code": "080252",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: pistachios, fresh or dried, shelled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11982949.447129013,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 99.74544258487181,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.376550719881038,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "hs_code": "970190",
      "hs_description": "Artwork: collages and similar decorative plaques",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11757148.920412768,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0677481702647253,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IRN",
    "importer_iso3": "BEL",
    "distance_km": 4090,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 599879.0253780001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 51767.78857240694,
    "importer_population": 11587.882,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9237216556979801,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868689,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6378997400239916,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.2825133868446965
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-BEL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-BEL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-BEL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-BEL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-BEL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}