{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.876Z", "seo": { "title": "Iran exports to Azerbaijan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Iran to Azerbaijan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IRN", "country_name": "Iran" }, "importer": { "iso3": "AZE", "country_name": "Azerbaijan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "all_history_lane_count": 162, "current_lane_count": 125, "current_product_count": 125, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 390852547.9451573, "attention_trade_usd": 294972821.12524843, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 329522783.1660187, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 27923852.976441946, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 320105234.25710297, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 26, "high_volatility_lane_count": 109, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 48, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 81, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.7428269517028325, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 12.087207862632333, "product_concentration_hhi": 576.4043005421472, "top1_product_share_pct": 16.855312703883033, "top3_product_share_pct": 31.68054369785594, "top_product_hs6": "040510", "top_product_trade_usd": 65879419.16725062, "top_product_description": "Dairy produce: derived from milk, butter", "top_attention_product_hs6": "040510", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 540.446044921875, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.26460000872612, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.781613727203066, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.781613727203066, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 54622.176471, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5384, "buyer_population_latest": 10145.212, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.0569535704234, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.672559409025471, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.35371777704353846, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.036, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.227999999999994, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 75.4690797529706, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 54622.176471, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5384, "buyer_population_2024": 10145.212 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 105471741.92652048, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 159995934.5629064, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.69554578360105, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 126908756.61193326, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.68001167739928, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 93762826.27374274, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.117922216782485, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8465531870429337 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 97319271.85261765, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.793023013717378, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.271412231150961 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 155217499.98767942, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.49307576277807, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.942343867940259 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 229053194.9748215, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.56918194984643, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.67962177651695 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 171789908.7688674, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.999994526270953, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.855457314275117 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 196419778.187796, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.337203852914637, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.163693961036532 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 172843785.74629748, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.002860739898413, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.95855573626787 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 227875668.7768816, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.83908683379608, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.875307218527718 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 195390744.7661915, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.255547415418379, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.17493752377052418 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 86629721.1111114, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.66334464062038, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.566375033719297 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 90266272.97504985, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.197810886721198, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.5583343099138 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 59380282.46101508, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.21653458825297, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.76747475402605 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 217896612.99542817, "yoy_growth_pct": 266.95112243442725, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.9965384882458 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 295099539.39885384, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.4309896524392, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.41609712593951 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 266496218.7639223, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.69277034223749, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.9489659746201 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 324964663.66548026, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.939690241291075, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.251493634111668 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 289949294.34686965, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.77513134002026, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5851698560021767 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 140540657.48258024, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.52922934364867, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.20763711378641 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 282324191.9506706, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.88435404229142, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.580460052233537 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 306461939.993628, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.549656292711516, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8633989362609293 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 450462561.39216506, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.988093008068496, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.4412170187277 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 434677235.88641024, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5042480460462544, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.47100196849891 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 283373522.1736694, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.808290202774614, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5771327219099915 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 383778985.1366395, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.432196414397254, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.200183643096635 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 437486360.52017987, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.994350254592124, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.21495603812691222 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 378477980.665629, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.48805018387058, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.126993552229212 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 592476618.3346931, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.54189902744269, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.574850927454985 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "040510", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: derived from milk, butter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 111311351.89487524, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.7447629071747435, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "720711", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 63592666.87800098, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0934045821011806, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "040520", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: dairy spreads", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28823171.5913125, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9147731044227696, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "721420", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38028508.18516799, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8295959287163164, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "721391", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly wound coils, n.e.s. in heading no. 7213, of circular cross-section measuring less than 14mm in diameter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36035345.86254079, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0042879270695435, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26015720.969995428, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.3659591776924, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9231664800166652, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "070190", "hs_description": "Vegetables: potatoes (other than seed), fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34018181.935154706, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.22498304531093, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8498827077520867, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "030211", "hs_description": "Fish: trout (salmo trutta, oncorhynchus mykiss, oncorhynchus clarki, oncorhynchus aguabonita, oncorhynchus gilae, oncorhynchus apache and oncorhynchus chrysogaster), fresh or chilled (excluding fillets, livers, roes, other fish meat of heading no. 0304)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13013755.557150582, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5861011009564931, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "721049", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, (not corrugated), plated or coated with zinc (not electrolytically)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44536652.01673706, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1899905322792095, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "690722", "hs_description": "Ceramic tiles: flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles other than those of subheadings 6907.30 and 6907.40, of a water absorption coefficient by weight over 0.5% but not over 10%", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13702396.981683563, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.807767260189884, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0540658166435635, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IRN", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "distance_km": 537, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 54622.176471000006, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5384.034998085797, "importer_population": 10145.212, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.781613727203066, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.781613727203066, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-AZE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-AZE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-AZE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-AZE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRN-AZE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }