{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.593Z", "seo": { "title": "Ireland exports to Kenya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ireland to Kenya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "IRL", "country_name": "Ireland" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "all_history_lane_count": 61, "current_lane_count": 28, "current_product_count": 28, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 45369856.81893911, "attention_trade_usd": 28935330.33567707, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 27802882.067342896, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10976966.158982523, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 31582695.96451489, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 20, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 15, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 19, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3063014449680679, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.330255684742106, "product_concentration_hhi": 2279.5717326946224, "top1_product_share_pct": 39.77614546810745, "top3_product_share_pct": 71.20945689118517, "top_product_hs6": "841112", "top_product_trade_usd": 18046380.246973287, "top_product_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN", "top_attention_product_hs6": "841112", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 7266.43212890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.06859999895095825, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.705803971515152, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.705803971515152, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 110347.079517, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2007.0000000000002, "buyer_population_latest": 54985.703, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6939927181435905, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6964619039059992, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9642087608958247, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.871999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 6.416000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 63.77655202032367, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 110347.079517, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2007.0000000000002, "buyer_population_2024": 54985.703 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 8876853.36647476, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 9218568.779083846, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.849510614872198, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 10179830.9485993, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.427455633855832, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 14206732.368271438, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.557645308699584, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.971048917020482 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 10157827.685383389, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.49990115904948, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2870278117183016 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 11312258.735589039, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.364940280162639, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5784929833646784 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 9647772.046925472, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.714008294621062, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.102279688419792 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 36827070.8308497, "yoy_growth_pct": 281.7158060091776, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.622718207008745 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 8705331.683244864, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.36159627457396, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.36135385621587 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 10715141.548517428, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.08711417786462, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5595829902007825 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 14446569.208819065, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.82387650602643, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.796387215285044 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 154220462.18756485, "yoy_growth_pct": 967.5230911808409, "cagr_3y_pct": 160.68671084126916 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 54462016.765717156, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.68560916418487, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.93538640664188 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 31386504.50020302, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.369918772526525, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.516791225882443 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 24042867.443259325, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.397435215814475, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.179455495088604 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 60734167.168458395, "yoy_growth_pct": 152.60783603199485, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.70024608571784 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 44029002.931466885, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.50538126365738, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.943436026323395 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 49511065.411467895, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.451025721690968, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.2248663391111 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 40415632.28666693, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.370505763130385, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.695070558546995 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 65083237.60905556, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.03481234048746, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.91391189532838 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 71493213.34825243, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.848888860908488, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.028383158351353 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 43888771.40364858, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.61127602439569, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.786169590283527 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 33150459.51957136, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.467105231349706, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.138008741489667 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 49976077.56040606, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.755308628229415, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.250526935226645 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 65266596.8297979, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.595677003482713, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.142097279385425 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 28882324.547487687, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.74715712111211, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.490289136402903 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 34307398.4647773, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.78337011402882, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.785114806604968 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 32475138.146032587, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.340714833349591, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.758379854652198 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 32392621.375027426, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.254092132369399, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8973929917704764 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 52635086.989081174, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.49097712622713, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.335371659975028 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "841112", "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65756640.2066579, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4631576046922572, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "330210", "hs_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: of a kind used in the food or drink industries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 101506542.78005695, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.9152536169452, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9779736297702769, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "382200", "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 88937172.43469127, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8012294238310698, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86821224.48701985, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.102707356765176, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8025038825874787, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "220830", "hs_description": "Whiskies", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35550405.79545377, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9100543772495717, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 399208587.74814254, "current_below_peak_pct": 75.00535843250786, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9184420344541411, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "190110", "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for infant use, put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16193914.911906607, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.95269909937714, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.09571739608951, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "854442", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19156783.411933877, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.974722160285449, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "847170", "hs_description": "Data processing machines: storage units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14706446.887939015, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.6705782984379, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2910104322780829, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "300420", "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antibiotics (other than penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40786433.46061905, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.95486975532425, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8448134249691339, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IRL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "distance_km": 7246, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "importer_population": 54985.703, "importer_biz_entry_days": 23, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 22.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 498559.576715, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 99152.10257187916, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.705803971515152, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.705803971515152, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRL-KEN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRL-KEN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRL-KEN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRL-KEN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRL-KEN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }