{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.585Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ireland exports to the United Arab Emirates: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ireland to the United Arab Emirates, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "IRL",
    "country_name": "Ireland"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ARE",
    "country_name": "United Arab Emirates"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
    "importer_iso3": "ARE",
    "all_history_lane_count": 227,
    "current_lane_count": 119,
    "current_product_count": 119,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 234856639.2528706,
    "attention_trade_usd": 34320789.95189313,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 106189505.65912506,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 90965327.25089227,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 56729035.99028491,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 17,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 78,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 73,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 32,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.213153334828935,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 35.068638766637314,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 734.1726499926399,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 16.23097739249867,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 39.493512296167125,
    "top_product_hs6": "330210",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 38119528.02191558,
    "top_product_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: of a kind used in the food or drink industries",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "847149",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 5925.423828125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545451,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545451,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 358868.765175,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 36285,
    "buyer_population_latest": 9991.083,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.943547237156554,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.819807045643529,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0679101465127756,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.395999999999997,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 61.2,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 14.613506376091786,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 358868.765175,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 36285,
    "buyer_population_2024": 9991.083
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 84615960.7836777,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 91113335.99999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.678663878713077,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 114391515.00000004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.54859696938334,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 81437358.71448474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.808217362551147,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2681829392683142
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 133962964.09863321,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.4981691612821,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.7105953622358
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 166574511.72401828,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.343704131071696,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.345664357208564
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 149238970.05597645,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.407079383647522,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.3731636746384
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 165428971.72858813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.848374031621333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.2858074191537225
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 124014508.06004159,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.034589307907563,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.366660590537357
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 173807001.87059093,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.15053931145081,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.211127555521533
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 160266403.48050076,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.790594305384724,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0512512035181776
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 243172563.58955494,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.730218129678796,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.164362813925578
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 342643009.97744066,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.90529166595434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.388643134053666
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 408113102.77643096,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.10737732641936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.55659600247103
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 373630658.5790409,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.449237224387762,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.392073514222693
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 358515547.18711275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.045468712180256,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5208797165821464
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 402120542.09920275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.162651035418603,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.49186798261885434
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 515849763.23159486,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.2823703904028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.350860287782583
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 376131598.70305634,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.08504965733811,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6117525759119067
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 467559962.7370132,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.307546706847294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.154295637745077
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 471299078.36049354,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7997082559405122,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.9658844598281053
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 465158687.16924524,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3028650963224586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.338067507830148
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 495159210.9938675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.44952457132264,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.930115337463345
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 427422696.26336384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.679744459271015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.204835320383359
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 455353407.71398664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.534681404333487,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7076434086735084
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 515179163.6164492,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.138312987006318,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3299455195762366
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 552517340.7619956,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.247610109741287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.933831135604908
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 603059510.8353835,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.14761697862434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.817240544644633
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 657955923.2205392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.102984265866375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.495777675765481
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "export_value_usd": 256112121.70022285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.07457769410839,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.60823695288332
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "330210",
      "hs_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: of a kind used in the food or drink industries",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 137365555.21465132,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.94070610937912,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8803691762572838,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "841112",
      "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2986849233.523272,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.809666015399616,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9865419096585415,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "711319",
      "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15829229480.380571,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.215991264318938,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "880240",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1806376766.963915,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1513646105930067,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "190190",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.s. in heading no. 1901",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 167538645.825718,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.324666975483986,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6234739168954917,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "190110",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for infant use, put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 127986084.14894219,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.556634820697994,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6569437980566873,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "040690",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: cheese (not grated, powdered or processed), n.e.c. in heading no. 0406",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 157118389.83380625,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.805592465631236,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9615986129640518,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "330499",
      "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1084540814.9495368,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.23881918942079,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7027793038683215,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "902710",
      "hs_description": "Instruments and apparatus: gas or smoke analysis apparatus, for physical or chemical analysis",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78398231.10143863,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9058490426064326,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "300630",
      "hs_description": "Pharmaceutical goods: opacifying preparations for x-ray examinations, diagnostic reagents designed to be administered to the patient",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13128763.548625814,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.00832976274399,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9252386188672272,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "IRL",
    "importer_iso3": "ARE",
    "distance_km": 5919,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004,
    "importer_population": 9991.083,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 498559.576715,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 99152.10257187916,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545451,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545451,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRL-ARE/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRL-ARE/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRL-ARE/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRL-ARE/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/IRL-ARE/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}